United States vs Mexico Odds Movement Analysis | International Friendly | 168 Tips

International Friendly
United StatesUnited States
VS
MexicoMexico
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 01:52:49
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.81 +0.25 1.01
Over Under 0.82 2.5/3 0.98
Europe 2.66 | 3.56 | 2.40
Probability 35.0% | 26.2% | 38.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.4 → 2.7
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down0 → +0.252026-10-04 01:17:15★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.4 → 2.72026-10-04 01:17:15★★★★☆Home win prob. down38.48 → 34.532026-10-04 01:17:15★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 2.5/32026-10-04 01:17:15★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 01:52:49

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 20:45Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 22:07Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 23:28Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 18:47Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 23:28Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:290.78 0 1.04Opening
10-03 05:170.78 +0.25 1.04Down Line
10-04 01:520.81 +0.25 1.01No Change
0.730.911.091712Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-02 03:29 Opening
0
10-03 05:17
+0.25
10-04 01:52 Latest
+0.25
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-02 03:290.90 2.5 0.90Opening
10-04 01:170.97 2.5/3 0.83Up Line
10-04 01:520.82 2.5/3 0.98Over Water Down
0.780.901.021712OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-02 03:29 Opening
2.5（0.90 / 0.90）
10-04 01:17
2.5/3（0.97 / 0.83）
10-04 01:52
2.5/3（0.82 / 0.98）
10-04 01:52 Latest
2.5/3（0.82 / 0.98）
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-02 03:292.40 / 3.29 / 2.76Opening
10-03 05:172.63 / 3.34 / 2.52Home Odds Up
10-04 01:522.66 / 3.56 / 2.40No Change
2.402.983.561712HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 03:29 Opening
2.40 / 3.29 / 2.76
10-03 05:17
2.63 / 3.34 / 2.52
10-04 01:52 Latest
2.66 / 3.56 / 2.40
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-02 03:2938.5% / 28.1% / 33.5%Opening
10-03 05:1735.3% / 27.8% / 36.9%Home Prob Down
10-04 01:5235.0% / 26.2% / 38.8%No Change
26.232.538.81712Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 03:29 Opening
38.48%
10-03 05:17
35.32%
10-04 01:52 Latest
35.02%
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
-3.46%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.27%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-04 01:17
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-04 01:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.22 points to 38.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 01:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.95 points to 34.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 01:17
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.41 (-12.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 01:17
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.7 (+12.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 01:17
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-03 23:28
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.36 points to 38.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 23:28
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.23 points to 34.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 23:28
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.4 (-13.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 23:28
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.72 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 22:07
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.22 points to 38.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 22:07
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.34 points to 34.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 22:07
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.73 (+13.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 22:07
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.41 (-12.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 20:45
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.3 points to 38.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:45
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.39 points to 34.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:45
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.74 (+14.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 18:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.04 points to 38.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 18:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.23 points to 34.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 18:47
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.42 (-12.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 18:47
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.72 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 10:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.45 points to 37.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 10:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.2 points to 34.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 10:14
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.45 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 10:14
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.71 (+12.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 05:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.4 points to 36.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.16 points to 35.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.76 to 2.52 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 05:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.4 to 2.63 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 03:29
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-03 05:17
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 05:17
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-03 05:17
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
10-04 01:17
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-04 01:52
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-02
10-03
10-04
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