Argentina vs Burkina Faso Odds Movement Analysis | International Friendly | 168 Tips

International Friendly
ArgentinaArgentina
VS
Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 00:03:26
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.82 -3.75 1.00
Over Under 0.82 4/4.5 0.98
Europe 1.04 | 16.02 | 46.95
Probability 92.0% | 6.0% | 2.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability show the same direction toward the home side. Evidence Label: 78.7 → 91.9
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★★☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down1.18 → 1.042026-10-03 23:27:06★★★★☆Home win prob. up78.7 → 91.92026-10-03 23:27:06★★★★☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3 → 4.52026-10-03 23:27:06★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 00:03:26

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 23:27Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 22:46Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 21:27Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 20:09Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 18:46Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-02 03:281.02 -2 0.80Opening
10-03 05:160.97 -2.5 0.85Up Line
10-03 12:251.00 2.5/3 0.82Up Line
10-03 18:460.91 -3.5 0.91Up Line
10-04 00:030.82 -3.75 1.00No Change
0.800.911.021611Home WaterAway Water-3.75
Timeline Title
10-02 03:28 Opening
-2
10-03 05:16
-2.5
10-03 12:25
2.5/3
10-03 18:46
-3.5
10-04 00:03 Latest
-3.75
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-02 03:280.90 3 0.90Opening
10-03 05:160.85 3/3.5 0.95Up Line
10-03 08:360.99 3.5 0.81Up Line
10-03 18:460.85 4 0.95Up Line
10-03 21:270.82 4/4.5 0.98Up Line
10-03 23:270.97 4.5 0.83Up Line
10-04 00:030.82 4/4.5 0.98Down Line
0.800.901.001611OverUnder4/4.5
Timeline Title
10-02 03:28 Opening
3（0.90 / 0.90）
10-03 05:16
3/3.5（0.85 / 0.95）
10-03 08:36
3.5（0.99 / 0.81）
10-03 18:46
4（0.85 / 0.95）
10-03 21:27
4/4.5（0.82 / 0.98）
10-03 23:27
4.5（0.97 / 0.83）
10-04 00:03
4/4.5（0.82 / 0.98）
10-04 00:03 Latest
4/4.5（0.82 / 0.98）
11
Record Count
6
Change Count
5
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:281.18 / 6.40 / 13.68Opening
10-02 16:101.16 / 6.93 / 15.40Away Odds Up
10-03 05:161.11 / 8.50 / 20.13Away Odds Up
10-03 18:461.05 / 13.74 / 37.74Away Odds Up
10-03 20:091.05 / 14.47 / 41.28Away Odds Up
10-03 22:461.04 / 15.44 / 44.93Away Odds Up
10-04 00:031.04 / 16.02 / 46.95No Change
1.0424.047.01611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 03:28 Opening
1.18 / 6.40 / 13.68
10-02 16:10
1.16 / 6.93 / 15.40
10-03 05:16
1.11 / 8.50 / 20.13
10-03 18:46
1.05 / 13.74 / 37.74
10-03 20:09
1.05 / 14.47 / 41.28
10-03 22:46
1.04 / 15.44 / 44.93
10-04 00:03 Latest
1.04 / 16.02 / 46.95
11
Record Count
5
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
5
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:2878.7% / 14.5% / 6.8%Opening
10-03 05:1684.3% / 11.0% / 4.7%Home Prob Up
10-03 18:4690.6% / 6.9% / 2.5%Home Prob Up
10-04 00:0392.0% / 6.0% / 2.0%No Change
2.0447.092.01611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 03:28 Opening
78.70%
10-03 05:16
84.34%
10-03 18:46
90.56%
10-04 00:03 Latest
91.99%
11
Record Count
2
Change Count
+13.29%
Home Prob Cumulative
±5.08%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 23:27
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.69 points to 2.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 23:27
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 13.2 points to 91.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 23:27
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 45.62 (+233.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 23:27
🟢Total up★★★★★
O/U line surged from 3 to 4.5, up 1.5 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-03 23:27
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.18 to 1.04 (-11.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 22:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.67 points to 2.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 22:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 13.0 points to 91.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 22:46
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 44.93 (+228.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 22:46
🟢Total up★★★★★
O/U line surged from 3 to 4/4.5, up 1.25 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-03 21:27
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.55 points to 2.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 21:27
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 12.66 points to 91.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 21:27
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 42.73 (+212.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 21:27
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.18 to 1.05 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 20:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.47 points to 2.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 12.37 points to 91.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:09
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 41.28 (+201.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 20:09
🟢Total up★★★★★
O/U line surged from 3 to 4, up 1.0 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-03 20:09
🟢Handicap up★★★★★
Handicap moved from 2 to 3.5, surged 5 steps (1.25 goals) from opening - significant structural strengthening.
10-03 18:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.27 points to 2.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 18:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 11.86 points to 90.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 18:46
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 37.74 (+175.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 12:25
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.25 points to 4.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:25
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.78 points to 85.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:25
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 20.73 (+51.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 12:25
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low 8 to high 11) - market divergence notable
10-03 12:25
🟢Handicap up★★★☆☆
Handicap moved from 2 to 2.5/3, up 3 steps (0.75 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-03 12:25
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.18 to 1.1 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 12:25
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-03 08:36
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 4.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 08:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.23 points to 84.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 08:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 20.19 (+47.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 08:36
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 2 to 2.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-03 05:16
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 4.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.64 points to 84.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:16
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 20.13 (+47.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 05:16
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.18 to 1.11 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 05:16
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-02 16:10
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 13.68 to 15.4 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 03:28
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-02 16:10
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 05:16
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 05:16
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 05:16
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 05:16
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-03 08:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 12:25
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:46
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:46
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 18:46
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 18:46
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-03 20:09
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 21:27
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 22:46
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 23:27
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-04 00:03
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
6
Ou Changes
5
Odds Changes
2
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-02
10-03
10-04
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