J2 League

Tokushima Vortis vs Sagan Tosu Odds Movement Analysis | J2 League | 168 Tips

Tokushima Vortis
VS
Sagan Tosu
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 17:56:18
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.95 0 0.94
Over Under 0.88 2 0.98
Europe 2.68 | 2.93 | 2.68
Probability 34.3% | 31.4% | 34.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.3 → 2.68
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-08-16 17:56:18★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.3 → 2.682026-08-16 17:56:18★★★★★Home win prob. down39.47 → 34.312026-08-16 17:56:18★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 17:56:18

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 17:56Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 17:23Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 17:56Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 17:23Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 16:06Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-13 17:131.02 -0.25 0.80Opening
08-16 13:290.77 0 1.13Down Line
08-16 17:231.04 0 0.85Home Water Up
08-16 17:560.95 0 0.94No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:13 Opening
-0.25
08-16 13:29
0
08-16 17:23
0
08-16 17:56 Latest
0
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-13 17:130.87 2 0.93Opening
08-16 17:560.88 2 0.98No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:13 Opening
2（0.87 / 0.93）
08-16 17:56 Latest
2（0.88 / 0.98）
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
08-13 17:132.30 / 3.00 / 3.00Opening
08-16 17:232.59 / 2.98 / 2.73Home Odds Up
08-16 17:562.68 / 2.93 / 2.68No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:13 Opening
2.30 / 3.00 / 3.00
08-16 17:23
2.59 / 2.98 / 2.73
08-16 17:56 Latest
2.68 / 2.93 / 2.68
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-13 17:1339.5% / 30.3% / 30.3%Opening
08-16 17:5634.3% / 31.4% / 34.3%No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:13 Opening
39.47%
08-16 17:56 Latest
34.31%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.16%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.38%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 17:56
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.05 points (30.26% to 34.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:56
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.16 points (39.47% to 34.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:56
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 3.0 to 2.68 (-10.7%) - market backing away.
08-16 17:56
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.68 (+16.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 17:56
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-16 17:23
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.41 points (30.26% to 33.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:23
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.98 points (39.47% to 35.49%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:23
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.0 to 2.73 (-9.0%) - market backing away.
08-16 17:23
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.59 (+12.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 16:06
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.42 (+5.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 14:46
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.39 (+3.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:09
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.38 (+3.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 10:23
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.3 to 2.37 (+3.0%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-13 17:13
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 13:29
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-16 17:23
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
08-16 17:23
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-13
08-15
08-16
Related Title
Korea DPR Women VS Chinese Taipei WomenAsian Games Women China PR Women VS Vietnam WomenAsian Games Women Poland U19 VS Switzerland U19International Friendly Australia VS BrazilInternational Friendly Wuxi Wugou FC VS Guangxi Hengchen FCChina League One

Upcoming J2 League Matches