SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Odds Movement Analysis | DFB-Pokal | 168.Tips

DFB-Pokal 2026-10-29 01:00
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
VS
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 16:43:50
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.87 -0.75 1.01
Over Under 1.08 3/3.5 0.78
Europe 1.65 | 4.15 | 4.46
Probability 56.6% | 22.5% | 20.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.43 → 1.6
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 16:43:50

💡 168.Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-23 10:070.94 -1.25 0.88Opening
10-28 04:530.86 -1 0.96Down Line
10-28 14:170.86 -0.75 1.02Down Line
10-28 16:430.87 -0.75 1.01No Change
0.810.921.0211325Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
-1.25
10-28 04:53
-1
10-28 14:17
-0.75
10-28 16:43 Latest
-0.75
25
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe total-goals tier stayed the same and the Under-side water shifted.
History Title
10-23 10:070.83 3/3.5 0.97Opening
10-28 14:170.99 3.5 0.87Up Line
10-28 16:431.08 3/3.5 0.78Down Line
0.780.931.0811325OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
3/3.5(0.83 / 0.97)
10-28 14:17
3.5(0.99 / 0.87)
10-28 16:43
3/3.5(1.08 / 0.78)
10-28 16:43 Latest
3/3.5(1.08 / 0.78)
25
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:071.43 / 4.67 / 5.86Opening
10-27 11:211.48 / 4.59 / 5.34Away Odds Down
10-28 10:341.56 / 4.42 / 4.87Away Odds Down
10-28 14:171.60 / 4.32 / 4.58Away Odds Down
10-28 16:431.65 / 4.15 / 4.46No Change
1.423.645.8611325HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
1.43 / 4.67 / 5.86
10-27 11:21
1.48 / 4.59 / 5.34
10-28 10:34
1.56 / 4.42 / 4.87
10-28 14:17
1.60 / 4.32 / 4.58
10-28 16:43 Latest
1.65 / 4.15 / 4.46
25
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:0764.5% / 19.8% / 15.7%Opening
10-28 16:4356.6% / 22.5% / 20.9%No Change
15.740.364.911325Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
64.51%
10-28 16:43 Latest
56.58%
25
Record Count
0
Change Count
-7.93%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.86%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 14:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.57 points to 20.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.36 points to 58.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:17
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 4.58 (-21.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:17
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.43 to 1.6 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:17
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-28 14:17
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 0.5/1, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-28 10:34
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.4 points to 19.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:34
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.75 points to 59.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:34
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 4.87 (-16.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:34
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.43 to 1.56 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:34
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 04:53
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.19 points to 17.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 04:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.89 points to 61.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 04:53
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.19 (-11.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 04:53
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.43 to 1.51 (+5.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:33
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 62.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.35 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 02:33
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.43 to 1.49 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 00:47
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.1 points to 62.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:47
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.34 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 23:18
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 62.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:18
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.36 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 21:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.04 points to 62.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 21:53
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.38 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 20:13
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 62.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:13
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.37 (-8.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 18:39
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.04 points to 62.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:39
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.38 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 17:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.39 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 17:17
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.43 to 1.48 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.01 points to 62.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.33 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 11:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.34 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:32
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.64 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 21:30
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.65 (-3.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 14:24
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.64 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 05:15
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.86 to 5.61 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:07
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 11:21
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-28 04:53
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 10:34
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-28 14:17
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 14:17
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-28 14:17
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-28 16:43
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
25
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
Share This Match