Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg Odds Movement Analysis | DFB-Pokal | 168.Tips

DFB-Pokal 2026-10-29 03:45
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
VS
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 19:14:22
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.04 -2 0.84
Over Under 0.85 3.5 1.01
Europe 1.23 | 6.54 | 9.69
Probability 76.0% | 14.3% | 9.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.15 → 1.25
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-2.25 → -1.752026-10-28 18:18:13★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.15 → 1.252026-10-28 18:18:13★★★☆☆Home win prob. down80.34 → 74.762026-10-28 18:18:13★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down4 → 3.5/42026-10-28 18:18:13★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 19:14:22

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Key Movements Title

5
10-28 18:18Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 16:50Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 14:26Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 18:18Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-27 21:58Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-23 10:130.84 -2.25 0.98Opening
10-28 10:400.85 -2 0.97Down Line
10-28 14:260.86 -1.75 1.02Down Line
10-28 19:141.04 -2 0.84Up Line
0.840.941.0411427Home WaterAway Water-2
Timeline Title
10-23 10:13 Opening
-2.25
10-28 10:40
-2
10-28 14:26
-1.75
10-28 19:14
-2
10-28 19:14 Latest
-2
27
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
10-23 10:130.91 4 0.89Opening
10-28 14:260.90 3.5/4 0.96Down Line
10-28 19:140.85 3.5 1.01Down Line
0.850.931.0111427OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-23 10:13 Opening
4（0.91 / 0.89）
10-28 14:26
3.5/4（0.90 / 0.96）
10-28 19:14
3.5（0.85 / 1.01）
10-28 19:14 Latest
3.5（0.85 / 1.01）
27
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-23 10:131.15 / 7.64 / 12.21Opening
10-27 07:371.14 / 7.76 / 12.97Away Odds Up
10-28 10:401.18 / 7.17 / 11.24Away Odds Down
10-28 14:261.24 / 6.44 / 9.07Home Odds Up
10-28 19:141.23 / 6.54 / 9.69Away Odds Up
1.147.2013.211427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:13 Opening
1.15 / 7.64 / 12.21
10-27 07:37
1.14 / 7.76 / 12.97
10-28 10:40
1.18 / 7.17 / 11.24
10-28 14:26
1.24 / 6.44 / 9.07
10-28 19:14
1.23 / 6.54 / 9.69
10-28 19:14 Latest
1.23 / 6.54 / 9.69
27
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-23 10:1380.3% / 12.1% / 7.6%Opening
10-28 14:2675.2% / 14.5% / 10.3%Home Prob Down
10-28 19:1476.0% / 14.3% / 9.7%No Change
7.0044.281.411427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:13 Opening
80.34%
10-28 14:26
75.23%
10-28 19:14 Latest
76.05%
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
-4.29%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.54%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 18:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.91 points to 10.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.58 points to 74.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:18
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 12.21 to 8.92 (-26.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:18
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.15 to 1.25 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:18
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 4 to 3.5/4, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-28 18:18
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 2/2.5 to 1.5/2, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-28 16:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.87 points to 10.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:50
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.41 points to 74.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:50
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 12.21 to 8.97 (-26.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:26
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.71 points to 10.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:26
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.11 points to 75.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:26
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 12.21 to 9.07 (-25.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:26
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.15 to 1.24 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:40
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 12.21 to 11.24 (-7.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:40
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 05:00
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.09 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:37
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.13 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 00:51
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.12 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 23:23
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.13 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 21:58
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.25 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 20:18
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.24 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 18:44
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.19 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:10
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.21 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:25
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 13.1 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 07:37
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 12.21 to 12.97 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:13
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 07:37
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-28 10:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 10:40
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-28 14:26
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 14:26
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 14:26
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 14:26
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
10-28 19:14
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-28 19:14
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 19:14
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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