RC Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais Odds Movement Analysis | Ligue 1 | 168 Tips

Ligue 1
RC LensRC Lens
VS
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-09 16:36:42
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.98 0 0.91
Over Under 1.05 3/3.5 0.83
Europe 2.51 | 3.63 | 2.60
Probability 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.19 → 2.49
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-10-09 13:02:58★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.19 → 2.492026-10-09 13:02:58★★★★☆Home win prob. down42.72 → 37.962026-10-09 13:02:58★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-09 16:36:42

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Key Movements Title

5
10-09 13:02Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-09 13:02Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-08 10:31Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-09 09:49Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-08 03:00Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-02 04:331.01 -0.25 0.87Opening
10-04 17:100.83 0 1.05Down Line
10-09 06:481.09 -0.25 0.80Up Line
10-09 09:490.92 0 0.97Down Line
10-09 16:360.98 0 0.91No Change
0.800.951.0911325Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
10-02 04:33 Opening
-0.25
10-04 17:10
0
10-09 06:48
-0.25
10-09 09:49
0
10-09 16:36 Latest
0
25
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-02 04:330.90 3 0.97Opening
10-09 16:361.05 3/3.5 0.83Up Line
0.820.941.0511325OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-02 04:33 Opening
3（0.90 / 0.97）
10-09 16:36
3/3.5（1.05 / 0.83）
10-09 16:36 Latest
3/3.5（1.05 / 0.83）
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-02 04:332.19 / 3.69 / 2.93Opening
10-03 20:122.32 / 3.68 / 2.75Home Odds Up
10-09 16:362.51 / 3.63 / 2.60No Change
2.192.953.7011325HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 04:33 Opening
2.19 / 3.69 / 2.93
10-03 20:12
2.32 / 3.68 / 2.75
10-09 16:36 Latest
2.51 / 3.63 / 2.60
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-02 04:3342.7% / 25.4% / 31.9%Opening
10-09 16:3637.6% / 26.0% / 36.3%No Change
25.434.042.711325Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 04:33 Opening
42.72%
10-09 16:36 Latest
37.64%
25
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.08%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.19%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-09 13:02
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.15 points to 36.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 13:02
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.76 points to 37.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 13:02
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.62 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 13:02
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.49 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 13:02
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-09 09:49
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.67 points to 34.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 09:49
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.2 points to 39.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 09:49
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.73 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 09:49
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.39 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 06:48
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.17 points to 40.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 06:48
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.81 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 06:48
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.33 (+6.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 02:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.37 points to 40.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 02:53
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.79 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 02:53
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.34 (+6.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 00:06
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.0 points to 33.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 00:06
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 40.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 00:06
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.78 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 22:30
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.05 points to 33.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 22:30
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.52 points to 40.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 22:30
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.35 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 20:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.14 points to 34.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 20:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.57 points to 40.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 20:37
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.77 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 16:01
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.74 points to 34.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 16:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.09 points to 39.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 16:01
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.72 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 16:01
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.38 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 10:31
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points to 34.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 10:31
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.39 points to 39.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 10:31
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.7 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 10:31
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.4 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 06:50
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.24 points to 35.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 06:50
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.44 points to 39.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 06:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.68 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 03:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.1 points to 35.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 03:00
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.29 points to 39.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 03:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.69 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 03:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.39 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 22:52
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.02 points to 34.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 22:52
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.24 points to 39.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 22:52
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.7 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 18:52
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.96 points to 34.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 18:52
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.14 points to 39.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 18:52
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.38 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 12:16
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.04 points to 34.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 12:16
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.19 points to 39.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 12:16
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.69 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 02:43
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.96 points to 34.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 02:43
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.14 points to 39.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 02:43
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.7 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 17:09
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.62 points to 34.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 17:09
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.73 points to 39.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 17:09
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.72 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 17:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.35 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 01:07
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.51 points to 34.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 01:07
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.71 points to 40.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 01:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.73 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 08:34
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.62 points to 34.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 08:34
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.73 points to 39.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 08:34
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.72 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 17:10
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.56 points to 34.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 17:10
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.63 points to 40.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 17:10
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.34 (+6.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 08:21
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.48 points to 34.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 08:21
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.58 points to 40.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 08:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.73 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 20:12
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.17 points to 34.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:12
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 40.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 20:12
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.93 to 2.75 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 20:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.19 to 2.32 (+5.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 04:33
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-03 20:12
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-04 17:10
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-09 06:48
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-09 09:49
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-09 16:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
25
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-03
10-04
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
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