Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Le Mans FC Odds Movement Analysis | Ligue 1 | 168 Tips

Ligue 1 2026-10-11 02:45
Paris Saint-Germain FCParis Saint-Germain FC
VS
Le Mans FCLe Mans FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-10 17:38:13
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 -2.25 1.06
Over Under 0.96 3.5/4 0.92
Europe 1.11 | 9.71 | 18.18
Probability 85.1% | 9.7% | 5.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 23.83 → 18.56
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-10 17:38:13

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe observed handicap moved materially lower than the opening position.
History Title
10-04 07:171.01 -3 0.87Opening
10-09 13:500.95 -2.75 0.93Down Line
10-10 11:531.02 -2.5 0.87Down Line
10-10 17:360.83 -2.25 1.06Down Line
10-10 17:380.83 -2.25 1.06No Change
0.830.951.0611325Home WaterAway Water-2.25
Timeline Title
10-04 07:17 Opening
-3
10-09 13:50
-2.75
10-10 11:53
-2.5
10-10 17:36
-2.25
10-10 17:38 Latest
-2.25
25
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-04 07:170.85 4 1.02Opening
10-10 11:530.92 3.5/4 0.96Down Line
10-10 17:380.96 3.5/4 0.92No Change
0.830.941.0511325OverUnder3.5/4
Timeline Title
10-04 07:17 Opening
4(0.85 / 1.02)
10-10 11:53
3.5/4(0.92 / 0.96)
10-10 17:38 Latest
3.5/4(0.96 / 0.92)
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe away-win price moved down materially from the opening observation.
History Title
10-04 07:171.07 / 12.10 / 23.83Opening
10-09 13:501.08 / 11.18 / 21.95Away Odds Down
10-10 11:531.10 / 10.15 / 19.48Away Odds Down
10-10 17:381.11 / 9.71 / 18.18No Change
1.0712.624.111325HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 07:17 Opening
1.07 / 12.10 / 23.83
10-09 13:50
1.08 / 11.18 / 21.95
10-10 11:53
1.10 / 10.15 / 19.48
10-10 17:38 Latest
1.11 / 9.71 / 18.18
25
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-04 07:1788.2% / 7.8% / 4.0%Opening
10-10 17:3885.1% / 9.7% / 5.2%No Change
3.9146.188.311325Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 07:17 Opening
88.24%
10-10 17:38 Latest
85.08%
25
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.16%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.94%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-10 13:45
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.98 points to 85.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 13:45
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 18.56 (-22.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 13:45
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.07 to 1.11 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 13:45
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 4 to 3.5/4, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-10 13:45
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 3 to 2.5, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-10 11:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.39 points to 85.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 11:53
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 19.48 (-18.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:42
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 21.09 (-11.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:42
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-10 04:46
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 21.6 (-9.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 01:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 21.51 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 21:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 21.66 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 13:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 23.83 to 21.95 (-7.9%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 07:17
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-09 13:50
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-09 13:50
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-10 11:53
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-10 11:53
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-10 11:53
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-10 17:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
25
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-04
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
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