UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

PolandPoland
VS
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-26 00:34:44
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.81 -1 1.08
Over Under 1.06 3 0.82
Europe 1.51 | 4.32 | 6.00
Probability 62.5% | 21.8% | 15.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.65 → 1.51
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.75 → -12026-09-26 00:34:44★☆☆☆☆Home price down1.65 → 1.512026-09-26 00:34:44★★★☆☆Home win prob. up56.74 → 62.452026-09-26 00:34:44★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 32026-09-26 00:34:44★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-09-26 00:34:44

Key Movements Title

5
09-26 00:34Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-25 16:42Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-26 00:34Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-25 19:56Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-26 00:34Home win prob. up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-24 22:030.92 -0.75 0.96Opening
09-25 16:421.05 -1 0.84Up Line
09-26 00:340.81 -1 1.08home_water_down
Timeline Title
09-24 22:03 Opening
-0.75
09-25 16:42
-1
09-26 00:34
-1
09-26 00:34 Latest
-1
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-24 22:030.96 2.5 0.91Opening
09-25 19:560.95 2.5/3 0.93Up Line
09-26 00:341.06 3 0.82Up Line
Timeline Title
09-24 22:03 Opening
2.5（0.96 / 0.91）
09-25 19:56
2.5/3（0.95 / 0.93）
09-26 00:34
3（1.06 / 0.82）
09-26 00:34 Latest
3（1.06 / 0.82）
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-24 22:031.65 / 3.81 / 5.01Opening
09-25 16:421.60 / 3.96 / 5.47Away Odds Up
09-26 00:341.51 / 4.32 / 6.00Home Odds Down
Timeline Title
09-24 22:03 Opening
1.65 / 3.81 / 5.01
09-25 16:42
1.60 / 3.96 / 5.47
09-26 00:34
1.51 / 4.32 / 6.00
09-26 00:34 Latest
1.51 / 4.32 / 6.00
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 22:0356.7% / 24.6% / 18.7%Opening
09-26 00:3462.5% / 21.8% / 15.7%Home Prob Up
Timeline Title
09-24 22:03 Opening
56.74%
09-26 00:34
62.45%
09-26 00:34 Latest
62.45%
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
+5.71%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.16%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-26 00:34
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.97 points to 15.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 00:34
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.71 points to 62.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 00:34
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.0 (+19.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 00:34
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.51 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 00:34
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-26 00:34
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 半/一 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-25 19:56
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.55 points to 59.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 19:56
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.41 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 19:56
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.59 (-3.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 19:56
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-25 16:42
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.2 points to 58.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:42
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.47 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 16:42
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.6 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 22:03
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:42
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-25 16:42
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-25 19:56
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-26 00:34
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-26 00:34
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-26 00:34
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-26 00:34
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
4
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
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