UEFA Nations League

Armenia vs Latvia Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

ArmeniaArmenia
VS
LatviaLatvia
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-25 19:33:10
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.86 -0.5 1.03
Over Under 0.92 2/2.5 0.96
Europe 1.86 | 3.44 | 4.25
Probability 50.5% | 27.3% | 22.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.7 → 1.86
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-09-25 19:33:10★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.7 → 1.862026-09-25 19:33:10★★★☆☆Home win prob. down54.76 → 50.552026-09-25 19:33:10★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5 → 2/2.52026-09-25 19:33:10★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-09-25 19:33:10

Key Movements Title

5
09-25 18:25Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-25 19:33Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-25 19:33Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-25 16:37Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-25 16:37Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:550.94 -0.75 0.94Opening
09-25 16:370.88 -0.5 1.01Down Line
09-25 19:330.86 -0.5 1.03No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:55 Opening
-0.75
09-25 16:37
-0.5
09-25 19:33 Latest
-0.5
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
09-24 21:550.99 2.5 0.88Opening
09-25 18:250.90 2/2.5 0.98Down Line
09-25 19:330.92 2/2.5 0.96No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:55 Opening
2.5（0.99 / 0.88）
09-25 18:25
2/2.5（0.90 / 0.98）
09-25 19:33 Latest
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.96）
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:551.70 / 3.66 / 4.70Opening
09-25 16:371.83 / 3.52 / 4.29Home Odds Up
09-25 19:331.86 / 3.44 / 4.25No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:55 Opening
1.70 / 3.66 / 4.70
09-25 16:37
1.83 / 3.52 / 4.29
09-25 19:33 Latest
1.86 / 3.44 / 4.25
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:5554.8% / 25.4% / 19.8%Opening
09-25 16:3751.4% / 26.7% / 21.9%Home Prob Down
09-25 19:3350.5% / 27.3% / 22.1%No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:55 Opening
54.76%
09-25 16:37
51.38%
09-25 19:33 Latest
50.55%
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
-4.21%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.38%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-25 19:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.31 points to 22.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 19:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.21 points to 50.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 19:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.7 to 4.25 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 19:33
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.7 to 1.86 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 19:33
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-25 19:33
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 半/一 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-25 18:25
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.49 points to 22.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 18:25
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.28 points to 50.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 18:25
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.7 to 4.21 (-10.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.11 points to 21.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.38 points to 51.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:37
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.7 to 4.29 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.7 to 1.83 (+7.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:55
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:37
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-25 16:37
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-25 16:37
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
09-25 18:25
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
4
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
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