NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Odds Movement Analysis | Eredivisie | 168 Tips

Eredivisie 2026-10-19 02:00
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
VS
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 16:35:42
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.99 -0.75 0.90
Over Under 0.94 3/3.5 0.94
Europe 1.69 | 4.08 | 4.28
Probability 55.3% | 22.9% | 21.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.49 → 1.69
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1 → -0.752026-10-18 14:48:32★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.49 → 1.692026-10-18 14:48:32★★★★☆Home win prob. down62.23 → 55.32026-10-18 14:48:32★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3.5 → 3/3.52026-10-18 14:48:32★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 16:35:42

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 09:34Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 13:24Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 14:48Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 08:00Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 05:09Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:240.88 -1 1.00Opening
10-17 20:480.84 -0.75 1.04Down Line
10-18 16:350.99 -0.75 0.90No Change
0.820.941.0611529Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-12 05:24 Opening
-1
10-17 20:48
-0.75
10-18 16:35 Latest
-0.75
29
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:240.97 3.5 0.89Opening
10-18 05:090.96 3/3.5 0.90Down Line
10-18 16:350.94 3/3.5 0.94No Change
0.810.941.0611529OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:24 Opening
3.5（0.97 / 0.89）
10-18 05:09
3/3.5（0.96 / 0.90）
10-18 16:35 Latest
3/3.5（0.94 / 0.94）
29
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-12 05:241.49 / 4.58 / 5.29Opening
10-18 16:351.69 / 4.08 / 4.28No Change
1.493.395.2911529HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:24 Opening
1.49 / 4.58 / 5.29
10-18 16:35 Latest
1.69 / 4.08 / 4.28
29
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:2462.2% / 20.2% / 17.5%Opening
10-18 16:3555.3% / 22.9% / 21.8%No Change
17.539.962.211529Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:24 Opening
62.23%
10-18 16:35 Latest
55.28%
29
Record Count
0
Change Count
-6.95%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.96%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 14:48
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.2 points to 21.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 14:48
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.93 points to 55.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 14:48
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.3 (-18.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 14:48
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.69 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 14:48
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3.5 to 3/3.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-18 14:48
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 0.5/1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 13:24
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.36 points to 21.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:24
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.13 points to 55.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:24
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.28 (-19.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 13:24
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.7 (+14.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:10
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.34 points to 21.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:10
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.16 points to 55.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:34
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.41 points to 21.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:34
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.25 points to 54.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:34
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.26 (-19.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 08:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.85 points to 21.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:00
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.29 points to 55.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:00
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.37 (-17.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 08:00
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.67 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.4 points to 20.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.44 points to 56.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:09
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.45 (-15.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.64 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.33 points to 20.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.03 points to 57.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:14
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.47 (-15.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:14
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.63 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 00:42
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.4 points to 20.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:42
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.08 points to 57.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:42
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.45 (-15.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 22:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.37 points to 20.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.05 points to 57.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:17
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.46 (-15.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 20:48
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.36 points to 20.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 20:48
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.08 points to 57.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:46
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.34 points to 20.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:46
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.11 points to 57.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:40
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.28 points to 20.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.03 points to 57.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:40
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.48 (-15.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 08:19
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.17 points to 20.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.85 points to 57.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:19
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.49 (-15.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 08:19
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.62 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 04:19
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.89 points to 20.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.4 points to 57.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:19
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.56 (-13.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 04:19
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.61 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 23:49
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.7 points to 20.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:49
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.06 points to 58.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:49
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.6 (-13.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 23:49
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.6 (+7.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 19:29
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.67 points to 20.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 19:29
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.03 points to 58.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 19:29
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.61 (-12.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 13:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.27 points to 19.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:48
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.47 points to 58.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:48
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.69 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 13:48
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.58 (+6.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 03:55
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.01 points to 59.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 03:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.79 (-9.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 03:55
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.57 (+5.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 19:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.78 points to 59.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 19:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.81 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 19:00
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.56 (+4.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 09:51
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 59.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 09:51
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.85 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 01:11
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 59.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 01:11
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.87 (-7.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 01:11
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.55 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 16:12
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.03 points to 60.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:12
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.95 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 16:12
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.49 to 1.54 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 03:28
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 4.98 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 09:44
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 5.12 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 00:55
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.29 to 5.13 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:24
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-17 20:48
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-18 05:09
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
29
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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