Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense vs Club Athletico Paranaense Odds Movement Analysis | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 168.Tips

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026-10-30 08:30
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto AlegrenseGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
VS
Club Athletico ParanaenseClub Athletico Paranaense
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-29 23:55:51
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.03 -0.25 0.86
Over Under 0.87 2.5 1.00
Europe 2.31 | 3.31 | 2.99
Probability 40.5% | 28.2% | 31.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.6 → 2.31
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up0 → -0.252026-10-29 22:40:31★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.6 → 2.312026-10-29 22:40:31★★★★☆Home win prob. up35.76 → 40.532026-10-29 22:40:31★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-29 23:55:51

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Key Movements Title

5
10-29 22:40Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-29 16:59Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-29 20:54Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 14:26Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 19:04Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-27 08:271.03 0 0.85Opening
10-27 17:341.11 -0.25 0.78Up Line
10-28 01:090.80 0 1.08Down Line
10-28 18:361.08 -0.25 0.80Up Line
10-29 23:551.03 -0.25 0.86No Change
0.780.951.111917Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-27 08:27 Opening
0
10-27 17:34
-0.25
10-28 01:09
0
10-28 18:36
-0.25
10-29 23:55 Latest
-0.25
17
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-27 08:270.93 2.5 0.94Opening
10-29 23:550.87 2.5 1.00No Change
0.870.941.001917OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-27 08:27 Opening
2.5（0.93 / 0.94）
10-29 23:55 Latest
2.5（0.87 / 1.00）
17
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-27 08:272.60 / 3.28 / 2.59Opening
10-27 17:342.43 / 3.29 / 2.78Home Odds Down
10-29 23:552.31 / 3.31 / 2.99No Change
2.312.813.311917HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-27 08:27 Opening
2.60 / 3.28 / 2.59
10-27 17:34
2.43 / 3.29 / 2.78
10-29 23:55 Latest
2.31 / 3.31 / 2.99
17
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-27 08:2735.8% / 28.4% / 35.9%Opening
10-29 23:5540.5% / 28.2% / 31.3%No Change
28.234.440.51917Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-27 08:27 Opening
35.76%
10-29 23:55 Latest
40.48%
17
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.72%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.51%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-29 22:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.8 points to 31.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 22:40
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.77 points to 40.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 22:40
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 3.01 (+16.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 22:40
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.31 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 22:40
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-29 20:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.3 points to 31.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.21 points to 39.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:54
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.96 (+14.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 20:54
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.34 (-10.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 19:04
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.07 points to 31.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 19:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.06 points to 39.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 19:04
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.94 (+13.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 19:04
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.35 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 16:59
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.55 points to 31.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 16:59
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.5 points to 40.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 16:59
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.98 (+15.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 16:59
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.32 (-10.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 14:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.33 points to 31.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 14:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.35 points to 40.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 14:26
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.96 (+14.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 14:26
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.33 (-10.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 12:28
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.64 points to 32.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:28
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.55 points to 39.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:28
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.9 (+12.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 12:28
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.38 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 10:57
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.62 points to 32.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 10:57
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.6 points to 39.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 10:57
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.89 (+11.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 10:57
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.37 (-8.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 04:18
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.36 points to 32.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 04:18
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.31 points to 39.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 04:18
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.87 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 04:18
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.39 (-8.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 01:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.23 points to 32.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 01:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.17 points to 38.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 01:41
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.86 (+10.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 01:41
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.4 (-7.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 22:52
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.21 points to 32.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 22:52
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.23 points to 38.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 22:52
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.85 (+10.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 22:52
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.39 (-8.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:36
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.97 points to 32.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.07 points to 38.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:36
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.83 (+9.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:36
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.4 (-7.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 15:07
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 33.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 15:07
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.7 points to 38.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 15:07
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.8 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 15:07
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.42 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 01:09
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.79 points to 33.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 01:09
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.85 points to 38.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 01:09
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.81 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 01:09
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.41 (-7.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 17:34
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.44 points to 33.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:34
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.51 points to 38.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:34
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.78 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 17:34
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.6 to 2.43 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-27 08:27
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 17:34
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-27 17:34
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-28 01:09
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 18:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
17
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-27
10-28
10-29
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