CR Vasco da Gama vs CR Flamengo Odds Movement Analysis | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 168.Tips

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026-10-30 07:00
CR Vasco da GamaCR Vasco da Gama
VS
CR FlamengoCR Flamengo
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-29 22:40:04
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.01 +0.75 0.88
Over Under 0.88 2.5/3 0.99
Europe 4.49 | 3.79 | 1.72
Probability 20.9% | 24.7% | 54.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 3.61 → 4.02
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up3.61 → 4.022026-10-29 20:54:26★★★★★Home win prob. down25.76 → 23.252026-10-29 20:54:26★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-29 22:40:04

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Key Movements Title

5
10-29 20:54Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 19:04Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 17:59Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 16:59Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 12:27Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-27 08:260.98 +0.5 0.90Opening
10-29 08:441.31 +0.25 0.64Up Line
10-29 10:571.01 +0.5 0.88Down Line
10-29 22:401.01 +0.75 0.88Down Line
0.640.981.3111019Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Timeline Title
10-27 08:26 Opening
+0.5
10-29 08:44
+0.25
10-29 10:57
+0.5
10-29 22:40
+0.75
10-29 22:40 Latest
+0.75
19
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-27 08:260.99 2.5/3 0.88Opening
10-29 02:351.05 2.5/3 0.75Under Water Down
10-29 04:170.84 2.5 1.03Down Line
10-29 08:441.01 2.5/3 0.84Up Line
10-29 10:570.87 2.5 1.00Down Line
10-29 22:400.88 2.5/3 0.99Up Line
0.750.901.0511019OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-27 08:26 Opening
2.5/3（0.99 / 0.88）
10-29 02:35
2.5/3（1.05 / 0.75）
10-29 04:17
2.5（0.84 / 1.03）
10-29 08:44
2.5/3（1.01 / 0.84）
10-29 10:57
2.5（0.87 / 1.00）
10-29 22:40
2.5/3（0.88 / 0.99）
10-29 22:40 Latest
2.5/3（0.88 / 0.99）
19
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
10-27 08:263.61 / 3.64 / 1.91Opening
10-27 17:333.90 / 3.75 / 1.82Home Odds Up
10-29 22:404.49 / 3.79 / 1.72Home Odds Up
1.723.104.4911019HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-27 08:26 Opening
3.61 / 3.64 / 1.91
10-27 17:33
3.90 / 3.75 / 1.82
10-29 22:40
4.49 / 3.79 / 1.72
10-29 22:40 Latest
4.49 / 3.79 / 1.72
19
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-27 08:2625.8% / 25.6% / 48.7%Opening
10-29 22:4020.9% / 24.7% / 54.4%No Change
20.937.654.411019Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-27 08:26 Opening
25.76%
10-29 22:40 Latest
20.85%
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.91%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.40%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-29 20:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.1 points to 50.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.51 points to 23.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:54
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.84 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 20:54
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 4.02 (+11.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 20:54
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-29 19:04
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.4 points to 23.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 19:04
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 4.01 (+11.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 19:04
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.85 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 17:59
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 4.0 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 17:59
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 23.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 16:59
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 50.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 16:59
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.84 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 16:59
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.99 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 14:25
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 23.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 14:25
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.85 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 14:25
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.96 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 12:27
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.16 points to 50.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.25 points to 23.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:27
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.84 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 12:27
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.98 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 10:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.13 points to 50.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 10:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 23.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:44
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.45 points to 51.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:44
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 23.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:44
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.83 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 08:44
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.95 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 08:44
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-29 04:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.89 points to 51.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 04:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.24 points to 23.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 04:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.97 (+10.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 04:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.81 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 02:35
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.9 points to 51.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 02:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.12 points to 23.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 02:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.95 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 00:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.93 points to 51.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 00:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.1 points to 23.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 22:52
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.77 points to 51.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 22:52
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.92 (+8.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 22:52
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.0 points to 23.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 17:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.74 points to 51.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 17:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.91 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 11:24
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.77 points to 51.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 11:24
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.92 (+8.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:53
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.74 points to 51.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.01 points to 23.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:30
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.71 points to 51.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:30
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.91 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 17:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.54 points to 51.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:33
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.91 to 1.82 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 17:33
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.61 to 3.9 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-27 08:26
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 17:33
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-29 02:35
Over Under Under Water DownOver Under
10-29 04:17
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-29 08:44
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-29 08:44
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-29 10:57
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-29 10:57
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-29 22:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-29 22:40
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-29 22:40
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
5
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
19
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-27
10-28
10-29
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