Kosovo vs Austria Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
KosovoKosovo
VS
AustriaAustria
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 16:09:15
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.82 +0.5 1.06
Over Under 0.86 2/2.5 1.01
Europe 3.79 | 3.44 | 1.98
Probability 24.9% | 27.4% | 47.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.33 → 3.75
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.25 → +0.52026-10-04 15:13:34★☆☆☆☆Home price up3.33 → 3.752026-10-04 15:13:34★★★★☆Home win prob. down28.17 → 25.142026-10-04 15:13:34★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 16:09:15

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Key Movements Title

5
10-04 15:13Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 14:28Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 13:46Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 12:17Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 11:35Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-03 00:501.02 +0.25 0.80Opening
10-04 06:390.82 +0.5 1.07Down Line
10-04 10:091.11 +0.25 0.79Up Line
10-04 11:350.85 +0.5 1.04Down Line
10-04 16:090.82 +0.5 1.06No Change
0.790.951.111814Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-03 00:50 Opening
+0.25
10-04 06:39
+0.5
10-04 10:09
+0.25
10-04 11:35
+0.5
10-04 16:09 Latest
+0.5
14
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-03 00:500.83 2.5 0.97Opening
10-04 16:090.86 2/2.5 1.01Down Line
0.800.941.081814OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-03 00:50 Opening
2.5（0.83 / 0.97）
10-04 16:09
2/2.5（0.86 / 1.01）
10-04 16:09 Latest
2/2.5（0.86 / 1.01）
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-03 00:503.33 / 3.51 / 2.08Opening
10-04 16:093.79 / 3.44 / 1.98No Change
1.982.883.791814HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-03 00:50 Opening
3.33 / 3.51 / 2.08
10-04 16:09 Latest
3.79 / 3.44 / 1.98
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-03 00:5028.2% / 26.7% / 45.1%Opening
10-04 16:0924.9% / 27.4% / 47.7%No Change
24.936.347.71814Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-03 00:50 Opening
28.17%
10-04 16:09 Latest
24.90%
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.27%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.04%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-04 15:13
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.27 points to 47.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 15:13
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.03 points to 25.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 15:13
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.08 to 1.99 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 15:13
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.75 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 15:13
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to -0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-04 14:28
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.73 points to 25.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 14:28
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.08 to 2.01 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 14:28
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.71 (+11.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 13:46
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.54 points to 25.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 13:46
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.68 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 12:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.37 points to 25.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 12:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.66 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.56 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 10:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.51 (+5.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 06:39
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.33 to 3.44 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-03 00:50
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-04 06:39
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 10:09
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-04 11:35
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 16:09
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
14
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-03
10-04
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