Greece vs Germany Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
GreeceGreece
VS
GermanyGermany
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 18:28:41
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.85 +0.75 1.04
Over Under 1.08 3 0.80
Europe 4.05 | 3.87 | 1.82
Probability 23.4% | 24.5% | 52.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds show the same direction toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.71 → 4.09
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.5 → +0.752026-10-04 17:03:03★☆☆☆☆Home price up3.71 → 4.092026-10-04 17:03:03★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5/3 → 32026-10-04 17:03:03★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 18:28:41

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Key Movements Title

5
10-04 06:35Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 17:03Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 16:03Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 15:09Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 12:57Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:431.01 +0.5 0.87Opening
10-04 06:350.93 +0.75 0.96Down Line
10-04 12:571.06 +0.5 0.83Up Line
10-04 14:220.83 +0.75 1.06Down Line
10-04 16:031.05 +0.5 0.84Up Line
10-04 17:030.83 +0.75 1.06Down Line
10-04 18:280.85 +0.75 1.04No Change
0.810.951.081916Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Timeline Title
10-02 03:43 Opening
+0.5
10-04 06:35
+0.75
10-04 12:57
+0.5
10-04 14:22
+0.75
10-04 16:03
+0.5
10-04 17:03
+0.75
10-04 18:28 Latest
+0.75
16
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-02 03:430.93 2.5/3 0.95Opening
10-04 06:350.93 3 0.95Up Line
10-04 18:281.08 3 0.80No Change
0.800.941.081916OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-02 03:43 Opening
2.5/3（0.93 / 0.95）
10-04 06:35
3（0.93 / 0.95）
10-04 18:28 Latest
3（1.08 / 0.80）
16
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
10-02 03:433.71 / 3.70 / 1.90Opening
10-04 18:284.05 / 3.87 / 1.82No Change
1.792.974.151916HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 03:43 Opening
3.71 / 3.70 / 1.90
10-04 18:28 Latest
4.05 / 3.87 / 1.82
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-02 03:4325.3% / 25.4% / 49.4%Opening
10-04 18:2823.4% / 24.5% / 52.1%No Change
22.837.852.81916Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 03:43 Opening
25.28%
10-04 18:28 Latest
23.41%
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
-1.87%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.98%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-04 17:03
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.91 points to 52.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 17:03
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 23.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 17:03
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.09 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 17:03
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.9 to 1.81 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 17:03
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-04 17:03
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-04 16:03
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.92 points to 52.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 16:03
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 23.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 16:03
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.08 (+10.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 15:09
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.75 points to 52.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 15:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.06 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 15:09
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.9 to 1.82 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 12:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.69 points to 52.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 12:57
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.05 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:29
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.86 points to 52.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 11:29
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.04 (+8.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:29
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.9 to 1.81 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 10:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.89 points to 52.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 10:04
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.05 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 06:35
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.43 points to 52.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 06:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.51 points to 22.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 06:35
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.9 to 1.79 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 06:35
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 4.15 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 01:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.0 points to 51.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 01:54
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.9 to 1.84 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 01:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 3.98 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 22:48
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 3.91 (+5.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 19:17
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.71 to 3.87 (+4.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 03:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-04 06:35
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 06:35
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-04 12:57
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-04 14:22
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 16:03
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-04 17:03
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

5
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
16
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-02
10-03
10-04
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