日联杯

Kataller Toyama vs Urawa Red Diamonds Odds Movement Analysis | 日联杯 | 168 Tips

Kataller ToyamaKataller Toyama
VS
Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 12:24:39
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.02 +0.25 7.14
Over Under 7.14 5.5 0.02
Europe 5.68 | 4.43 | 1.49
Probability 16.4% | 21.0% | 62.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Handicap and European Odds, Implied Probability. Evidence Label: 3.83 → 6.11
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Handicap up+1 → +0.752026-09-29 04:24:43★★★☆☆Home price up3.83 → 6.112026-09-29 08:43:08★★★★★Home win prob. down23.89 → 15.372026-09-29 08:43:08★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 12:24:39

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 08:43Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 08:43Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 08:43Away win prob. up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 08:43Home win prob. down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 08:43Handicap volatile★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe observed handicap moved materially higher than the opening position.
History Title
09-28 18:230.65 +1 1.20Opening
09-28 21:441.02 +0.5 0.80Up Line
09-29 04:240.82 +0.75 1.00Down Line
09-29 08:421.00 +1.25 0.82Down Line
09-29 12:240.02 +0.25 7.14Up Line
0.023.587.14147Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 18:23 Opening
+1
09-28 21:44
+0.5
09-29 04:24
+0.75
09-29 08:42
+1.25
09-29 12:24
+0.25
09-29 12:24 Latest
+0.25
7
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 18:231.01 3 0.79Opening
09-28 21:440.83 2.5/3 0.97Down Line
09-29 08:420.82 3 0.98Up Line
09-29 12:247.14 5.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.587.14147OverUnder5.5
Timeline Title
09-28 18:23 Opening
3（1.01 / 0.79）
09-28 21:44
2.5/3（0.83 / 0.97）
09-29 08:42
3（0.82 / 0.98）
09-29 12:24
5.5（7.14 / 0.02）
09-29 12:24 Latest
5.5（7.14 / 0.02）
7
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 18:233.83 / 3.75 / 1.77Opening
09-29 08:426.12 / 4.63 / 1.46Home Odds Up
09-29 12:245.68 / 4.43 / 1.49Home Odds Down
1.463.796.12147HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 18:23 Opening
3.83 / 3.75 / 1.77
09-29 08:42
6.12 / 4.63 / 1.46
09-29 12:24
5.68 / 4.43 / 1.49
09-29 12:24 Latest
5.68 / 4.43 / 1.49
7
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-28 18:2323.9% / 24.4% / 51.7%Opening
09-29 08:4215.3% / 20.3% / 64.3%Home Prob Down
09-29 12:2416.4% / 21.0% / 62.5%No Change
15.339.864.3147Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 18:23 Opening
23.89%
09-29 08:42
15.35%
09-29 12:24 Latest
16.41%
7
Record Count
1
Change Count
-7.48%
Home Prob Cumulative
±8.24%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 08:43
🟢Away win prob. up★★★★☆
Away win probability increased by 12.61 points to 64.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:43
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 8.52 points to 15.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:43
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 1.77 to 1.46 (-17.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 08:43
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 6.11 (+59.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:43
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -5 to high -2) - market divergence notable
09-29 08:43
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -1/-1.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 04:24
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -0.5/-1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 04:24
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-29 00:56
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 18:23
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 21:44
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 21:44
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 04:24
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 08:42
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 08:42
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 08:42
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 08:42
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
09-29 12:24
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 12:24
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 12:24
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
7
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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