日联杯

FC爱媛 vs FC Tokyo Odds Movement Analysis | 日联杯 | 168 Tips

FC爱媛FC爱媛
VS
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 13:17:25
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.03 +0.25 6.66
Over Under 6.66 2.5 0.03
Europe 16.01 | 7.26 | 1.15
Probability 5.8% | 12.9% | 81.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Handicap and European Odds, Implied Probability. Evidence Label: 8.33 → 16.01
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★★★★🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Handicap up+1.75 → +0.252026-09-29 11:53:54★★★★★Home price up8.33 → 16.012026-09-29 11:53:54★★★★★Home win prob. down10.99 → 5.842026-09-29 11:53:54★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3 → 2.52026-09-29 11:53:54★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 13:17:25

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 11:53Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 08:39Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 11:53Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 11:53Away win prob. up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 11:53Handicap volatile★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large upward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
09-28 18:200.80 +1.75 1.02Opening
09-28 21:420.93 +1.5 0.89Up Line
09-29 08:390.90 +2 0.92Down Line
09-29 11:530.18 +0.25 3.33Up Line
09-29 13:170.03 +0.25 6.66home_water_down
0.033.356.66147Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 18:20 Opening
+1.75
09-28 21:42
+1.5
09-29 08:39
+2
09-29 11:53
+0.25
09-29 13:17
+0.25
09-29 13:17 Latest
+0.25
7
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
09-28 18:200.81 3 0.99Opening
09-29 08:390.92 3/3.5 0.88Up Line
09-29 11:534.34 2.5 0.11Down Line
09-29 13:176.66 2.5 0.03Over Water Up
0.033.356.66147OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-28 18:20 Opening
3（0.81 / 0.99）
09-29 08:39
3/3.5（0.92 / 0.88）
09-29 11:53
2.5（4.34 / 0.11）
09-29 13:17
2.5（6.66 / 0.03）
09-29 13:17 Latest
2.5（6.66 / 0.03）
7
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
09-28 18:208.33 / 5.23 / 1.28Opening
09-29 08:3910.71 / 5.96 / 1.21Home Odds Up
09-29 11:5316.01 / 7.26 / 1.15Home Odds Up
09-29 13:1716.01 / 7.26 / 1.15No Change
1.158.5816.0147HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 18:20 Opening
8.33 / 5.23 / 1.28
09-29 08:39
10.71 / 5.96 / 1.21
09-29 11:53
16.01 / 7.26 / 1.15
09-29 13:17 Latest
16.01 / 7.26 / 1.15
7
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 18:2011.0% / 17.5% / 71.5%Opening
09-29 13:175.8% / 12.9% / 81.3%No Change
5.8443.681.3147Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 18:20 Opening
10.99%
09-29 13:17 Latest
5.84%
7
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.15%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.75%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 11:53
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 9.78 points to 81.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:53
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.15 points to 5.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:53
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.28 to 1.15 (-10.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 11:53
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.33 to 16.01 (+92.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 11:53
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
09-29 11:53
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★★
Handicap oscillated 7 steps today (low -8 to high -1) - market divergence notable
09-29 11:53
🟢Handicap up★★★★★
Handicap moved from -1.5/-2 to 0/0.5, surged 6 steps (1.5 goals) from opening - significant structural strengthening.
09-29 08:39
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.48 points to 75.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:39
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.4 points to 8.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:39
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.28 to 1.21 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 08:39
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.33 to 10.71 (+28.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:39
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-29 08:39
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1.5/-2 to -2, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 04:22
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1.5/-2 to -1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 18:20
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 21:42
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 08:39
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 08:39
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 08:39
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 11:53
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 11:53
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 11:53
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 13:17
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-29 13:17
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
7
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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