Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo Odds Movement Analysis | Eerste Divisie | 168 Tips

Eerste Divisie
Helmond SportHelmond Sport
VS
Heracles Almelo
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-02 21:12:29
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.01 +0.25 7.69
Over Under 6.66 4.5 0.01
Europe 5.69 | 4.59 | 1.45
Probability 16.2% | 20.1% | 63.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap moved toward the home side, while the other core signals did not match it. Evidence Label: +1.25 → +1
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-02 21:12:29

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up by three or more tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:500.87 +1.25 0.95Opening
10-01 18:591.04 +1.25 0.78Home Water Up
10-02 03:170.86 +1.5 0.96Down Line
10-02 12:400.78 +1.25 1.10Up Line
10-02 18:541.04 +1 0.84Up Line
10-02 21:120.01 +0.25 7.69Up Line
0.013.857.691815Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:50 Opening
+1.25
10-01 18:59
+1.25
10-02 03:17
+1.5
10-02 12:40
+1.25
10-02 18:54
+1
10-02 21:12
+0.25
10-02 21:12 Latest
+0.25
15
Record Count
5
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:500.89 3/3.5 0.91Opening
10-02 21:126.66 4.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.336.661815OverUnder4.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:50 Opening
3/3.5(0.89 / 0.91)
10-02 21:12
4.5(6.66 / 0.01)
10-02 21:12 Latest
4.5(6.66 / 0.01)
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 02:505.84 / 4.65 / 1.41Opening
10-01 18:596.78 / 5.00 / 1.35Home Odds Up
10-02 12:406.37 / 4.83 / 1.40Home Odds Down
10-02 15:525.69 / 4.56 / 1.45Home Odds Down
10-02 21:125.69 / 4.59 / 1.45No Change
1.354.146.931815HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:50 Opening
5.84 / 4.65 / 1.41
10-01 18:59
6.78 / 5.00 / 1.35
10-02 12:40
6.37 / 4.83 / 1.40
10-02 15:52
5.69 / 4.56 / 1.45
10-02 21:12 Latest
5.69 / 4.59 / 1.45
15
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 02:5015.6% / 19.6% / 64.7%Opening
10-02 21:1216.2% / 20.1% / 63.7%No Change
13.340.868.41815Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:50 Opening
15.63%
10-02 21:12 Latest
16.22%
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
+0.59%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.64%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-02 18:54
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-02 12:40
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.37 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 09:34
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.63 points to 68.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:34
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 13.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:34
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.93 (+18.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 09:34
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-02 09:34
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.41 to 1.35 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 06:32
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.58 points to 68.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 06:32
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 13.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 06:32
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.91 (+18.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 03:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.5 points to 68.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 03:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 13.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 03:17
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.85 (+17.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 18:59
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.33 points to 68.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 18:59
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 13.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 18:59
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.78 (+16.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:44
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.14 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 18:30
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.07 (+3.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 04:30
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.06 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 16:19
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.84 to 6.03 (+3.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:50
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 18:59
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-01 18:59
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-02 03:17
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 12:40
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 12:40
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-02 15:52
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-02 18:54
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 21:12
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 21:12
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

5
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
15
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
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