Vitesse vs NAC Breda Odds Movement Analysis | Eerste Divisie | 168 Tips

Eerste Divisie
VitesseVitesse
VS
NAC Breda
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 18:18:50
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.02 +0.25 7.14
Over Under 6.66 4.5 0.01
Europe 3.11 | 3.86 | 1.99
Probability 29.7% | 23.9% | 46.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.59 → 2.92
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up2.59 → 2.922026-10-03 12:11:01★★★★★Home win prob. down35.17 → 31.522026-10-03 12:11:01★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:18:50

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 08:23Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 12:11Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 05:01Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 12:11Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-03 01:17Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the home-side water.
History Title
09-28 07:140.80 +0.25 1.02Opening
10-03 18:180.02 +0.25 7.14home_water_down
0.023.587.141815Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
+0.25
10-03 18:18
+0.25
10-03 18:18 Latest
+0.25
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 07:140.98 3/3.5 0.82Opening
10-03 18:186.66 4.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.336.661815OverUnder4.5
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
3/3.5（0.98 / 0.82）
10-03 18:18
4.5（6.66 / 0.01）
10-03 18:18 Latest
4.5（6.66 / 0.01）
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-28 07:142.59 / 3.80 / 2.23Opening
10-03 18:183.11 / 3.86 / 1.99Home Odds Up
1.992.933.871815HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
2.59 / 3.80 / 2.23
10-03 18:18
3.11 / 3.86 / 1.99
10-03 18:18 Latest
3.11 / 3.86 / 1.99
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 07:1435.2% / 24.0% / 40.9%Opening
10-03 18:1829.7% / 23.9% / 46.4%No Change
23.835.146.41815Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
35.17%
10-03 18:18 Latest
29.69%
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.48%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.83%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 12:11
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.61 points to 44.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:11
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.65 points to 31.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:11
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.92 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 12:11
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.07 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 08:23
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.63 points to 44.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 08:23
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.75 points to 31.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 08:23
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.93 (+13.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 05:01
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.4 points to 44.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.21 points to 31.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 05:01
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.08 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 05:01
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.88 (+11.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 01:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.04 points to 42.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 01:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.03 points to 33.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 01:17
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.14 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 01:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.77 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 22:00
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.02 points to 42.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 22:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.05 points to 33.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.27 points to 43.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 33.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:57
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.12 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 21:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.08 points to 42.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 21:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.04 points to 33.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 21:54
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.13 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 21:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.76 (+6.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 09:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.05 points to 42.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:50
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 33.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-30 21:33
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.74 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 21:33
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.14 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-30 09:13
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.72 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 21:04
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.23 to 2.16 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 21:04
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.59 to 2.71 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 07:14
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-03 18:18
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-03 18:18
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 18:18
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
15
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
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