日联杯

鸟取飞翔 vs V-Varen Nagasaki Odds Movement Analysis | 日联杯 | 168 Tips

鸟取飞翔鸟取飞翔
VS
V-Varen NagasakiV-Varen Nagasaki
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 12:37:21
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.03 +0.25 6.66
Over Under 6.66 2.5 0.03
Europe 9.30 | 5.45 | 1.26
Probability 9.9% | 16.9% | 73.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap indicate movement toward the home side, while European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 6.07 → 8.68
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 12:37:21

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe observed handicap moved materially higher than the opening position.
History Title
09-29 02:320.78 +1.25 1.04Opening
09-29 09:160.89 +1.75 0.93Down Line
09-29 12:370.03 +0.25 6.66Up Line
0.033.356.66134Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-29 02:32 Opening
+1.25
09-29 09:16
+1.75
09-29 12:37
+0.25
09-29 12:37 Latest
+0.25
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
09-29 02:320.91 2.5/3 0.89Opening
09-29 09:160.87 3 0.93Up Line
09-29 12:376.66 2.5 0.03Down Line
0.033.356.66134OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-29 02:32 Opening
2.5/3(0.91 / 0.89)
09-29 09:16
3(0.87 / 0.93)
09-29 12:37
2.5(6.66 / 0.03)
09-29 12:37 Latest
2.5(6.66 / 0.03)
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
09-29 02:326.07 / 4.40 / 1.43Opening
09-29 09:168.68 / 5.28 / 1.28Home Odds Up
09-29 12:379.30 / 5.45 / 1.26Home Odds Up
1.265.289.30134HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-29 02:32 Opening
6.07 / 4.40 / 1.43
09-29 09:16
8.68 / 5.28 / 1.28
09-29 12:37
9.30 / 5.45 / 1.26
09-29 12:37 Latest
9.30 / 5.45 / 1.26
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-29 02:3215.1% / 20.8% / 64.1%Opening
09-29 09:1610.6% / 17.4% / 72.0%Home Prob Down
09-29 12:379.9% / 16.9% / 73.2%No Change
9.9141.573.2134Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-29 02:32 Opening
15.10%
09-29 09:16
10.61%
09-29 12:37 Latest
9.91%
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
-5.19%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.11%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 09:16
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 7.87 points to 71.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 09:16
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.49 points to 10.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 09:16
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.43 to 1.28 (-10.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 09:16
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 6.07 to 8.68 (+43.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 09:16
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-29 09:16
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1.5/-2, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-29 02:32
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-29 09:16
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 09:16
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 09:16
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 09:16
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
09-29 12:37
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 12:37
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 12:37
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
4
Total Records
1Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-29