Estonia vs Luxembourg Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
EstoniaEstonia
VS
LuxembourgLuxembourg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 18:26:02
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 1.5 0.02
Europe 2.81 | 2.90 | 2.75
Probability 33.4% | 32.4% | 34.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap moved toward the home side, while the other core signals did not match it.
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:26:02

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-01 02:431.12 0 0.71Opening
10-01 15:020.77 +0.25 1.05Down Line
10-02 15:551.11 0 0.78Up Line
10-03 18:267.14 -0.25 0.02Up Line
0.023.587.14159Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
0
10-01 15:02
+0.25
10-02 15:55
0
10-03 18:26
-0.25
10-03 18:26 Latest
-0.25
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
10-01 02:431.02 2/2.5 0.78Opening
10-02 15:550.83 2 1.04Down Line
10-03 07:451.11 2 0.78Over Water Up
10-03 18:267.14 1.5 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.14159OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
2/2.5(1.02 / 0.78)
10-02 15:55
2(0.83 / 1.04)
10-03 07:45
2(1.11 / 0.78)
10-03 18:26
1.5(7.14 / 0.02)
10-03 18:26 Latest
1.5(7.14 / 0.02)
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-01 02:432.91 / 3.09 / 2.48Opening
10-03 18:262.81 / 2.90 / 2.75Away Odds Up
2.482.793.09159HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
2.91 / 3.09 / 2.48
10-03 18:26
2.81 / 2.90 / 2.75
10-03 18:26 Latest
2.81 / 2.90 / 2.75
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-01 02:4332.1% / 30.2% / 37.7%Opening
10-03 18:2633.4% / 32.4% / 34.2%No Change
30.234.037.7159Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
32.10%
10-03 18:26 Latest
33.44%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
+1.34%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.60%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 11:27
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.48 to 2.61 (+5.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 11:27
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-03 07:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.48 to 2.58 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 03:25
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-01 02:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 15:02
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 15:55
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 15:55
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-03 07:45
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
10-03 18:26
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:26
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-03 18:26
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-01
10-02
10-03
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