9
Record Count
Croatia vs England Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips
UEFA Nations LeagueCroatia
VS
England
Pre Match High Freq
Until Kickoff
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.04 +0.25 6.66
Over Under
7.14 7.5 0.03
Europe
4.61 | 3.92 | 1.71
Probability
20.5% | 24.1% | 55.3%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State ConflictedMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Handicap and European Odds, Implied Probability. Evidence Label: 3.83 → 4.49
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Signals are split across markets.
Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq
Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff
Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:25:33
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-01 02:431.04 +0.5 0.84Opening
10-02 15:550.85 +0.75 1.03Down Line
10-03 18:250.04 +0.25 6.66Up Line
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
+0.5
10-02 15:55
+0.75
10-03 18:25
+0.25
10-03 18:25 Latest
+0.25
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-01 02:430.92 2.5/3 0.96Opening
10-02 15:551.05 3 0.83Up Line
10-03 11:270.84 2.5/3 1.04Down Line
10-03 18:257.14 7.5 0.03Up Line
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
2.5/3（0.92 / 0.96）
10-02 15:55
3（1.05 / 0.83）
10-03 11:27
2.5/3（0.84 / 1.04）
10-03 18:25
7.5（7.14 / 0.03）
10-03 18:25 Latest
7.5（7.14 / 0.03）
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-01 02:433.83 / 3.71 / 1.87Opening
10-03 00:424.24 / 3.89 / 1.77Home Odds Up
10-03 18:254.61 / 3.92 / 1.71No Change
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
3.83 / 3.71 / 1.87
10-03 00:42
4.24 / 3.89 / 1.77
10-03 18:25 Latest
4.61 / 3.92 / 1.71
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-01 02:4324.5% / 25.3% / 50.2%Opening
10-03 18:2520.5% / 24.1% / 55.3%No Change
Timeline Title
10-01 02:43 Opening
24.51%
10-03 18:25 Latest
20.53%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.98%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.28%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix10-03 11:27
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.56 points to 54.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 11:27
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.42 points to 21.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 11:27
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.73 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 11:27
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 4.49 (+17.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 11:27
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-03 07:45
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.3 points to 54.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 07:45
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.25 points to 21.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 07:45
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.74 (-7.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 07:45
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 4.46 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 07:45
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-03 04:09
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.86 points to 54.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 04:09
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.82 points to 21.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 04:09
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.75 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 04:09
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 4.36 (+13.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 00:42
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.22 points to 53.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:42
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.22 points to 22.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:42
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.77 (-5.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 00:42
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 4.24 (+10.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 15:55
Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.81 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 15:55
Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.83 to 4.0 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules10-01 02:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-02 15:55
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 15:55
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 00:42
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-03 11:27
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-03 18:25
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:25
Over Under Up LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-01
10-02
10-03
Partners
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