UEFA Conference League

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Conference League | 168 Tips

HNK Rijeka
VS
Ilves
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-07 00:40:17
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.08 -1.75 0.74
Over Under 1.03 2.5/3 0.77
Europe 1.22 | 5.70 | 11.62
Probability 75.8% | 16.2% | 8.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.13 → 1.22
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-2.25 → -1.752026-08-07 00:40:17★★☆☆☆Home price up1.13 → 1.222026-08-07 00:40:17★★★☆☆Home win prob. down81.91 → 75.812026-08-07 00:40:17★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3 → 2.5/32026-08-07 00:40:17★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-07 00:40:17

Key Movements Title

5
08-06 23:28Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-07 00:40Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-06 23:28Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 00:40Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-06 23:28Home win prob. down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
08-04 21:110.90 -2.25 0.80Opening
08-06 12:181.00 -2 0.76Down Line
08-06 23:281.05 -1.75 0.77Down Line
08-07 00:401.08 -1.75 0.74No Change
0.740.911.08135Home WaterAway Water-1.75
Timeline Title
08-04 21:11 Opening
-2.25
08-06 12:18
-2
08-06 23:28
-1.75
08-07 00:40 Latest
-1.75
5
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
08-04 21:110.78 3 0.92Opening
08-06 12:181.14 3 0.63Over Water Up
08-06 23:281.03 2.5/3 0.77Down Line
08-07 00:401.03 2.5/3 0.77No Change
0.630.891.14135OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
08-04 21:11 Opening
3（0.78 / 0.92）
08-06 12:18
3（1.14 / 0.63）
08-06 23:28
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.77）
08-07 00:40 Latest
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.77）
5
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:111.13 / 7.16 / 17.93Opening
08-06 23:281.23 / 5.68 / 11.55Home Odds Up
08-07 00:401.22 / 5.70 / 11.62No Change
1.129.7018.3135HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
08-04 21:11 Opening
1.13 / 7.16 / 17.93
08-06 23:28
1.23 / 5.68 / 11.55
08-07 00:40 Latest
1.22 / 5.70 / 11.62
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-04 21:1181.9% / 12.9% / 5.2%Opening
08-06 23:2875.6% / 16.4% / 8.1%Home Prob Down
08-07 00:4075.8% / 16.2% / 8.0%No Change
5.0543.882.5135Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
08-04 21:11 Opening
81.91%
08-06 23:28
75.58%
08-07 00:40 Latest
75.81%
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
-6.10%
Home Prob Cumulative
±6.38%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-07 00:40
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.8 points (5.16% to 7.96%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.1 points (81.91% to 75.81%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:40
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 17.93 to 11.62 (-35.2%) - market backing away.
08-07 00:40
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.13 to 1.22 (+8.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 00:40
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 3 to 2.5/3, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-07 00:40
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap 2/2.5 to 1.5/2, -2 steps (0.5 goals) - away backing rising.
08-06 23:28
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.89 points (5.16% to 8.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:28
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.33 points (81.91% to 75.58%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:28
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 17.93 to 11.55 (-35.6%) - market backing away.
08-06 23:28
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.13 to 1.23 (+8.8%) - market cautious on home.
08-06 12:18
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 2/2.5 to 2, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:11
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 12:18
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-06 12:18
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
08-06 23:28
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-06 23:28
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-06 23:28
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-06 23:28
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
5
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
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