6
Record Count
UEFA Conference League
Valur vs FC Nordsjælland Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Conference League | 168 Tips
Valur
VS
FC Nordsjælland
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.88 +2 0.94
Over Under
0.88 3.5 0.92
Europe
11.38 | 6.47 | 1.20
Probability
8.2% | 14.4% | 77.5%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 8.13 → 11.38
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Supporting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-08-07 00:38:03
Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
08-04 21:090.93 +1.5 0.77Opening
08-06 12:161.13 +1.75 0.64Down Line
08-06 23:250.87 +2 0.95Down Line
08-07 00:380.88 +2 0.94No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:09 Opening
+1.5
08-06 12:16
+1.75
08-06 23:25
+2
08-07 00:38 Latest
+2
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
08-04 21:090.75 3 0.95Opening
08-06 17:500.60 3/3.5 1.19Up Line
08-07 00:380.88 3.5 0.92Up Line
Timeline Title
08-04 21:09 Opening
3（0.75 / 0.95）
08-06 17:50
3/3.5（0.60 / 1.19）
08-07 00:38
3.5（0.88 / 0.92）
08-07 00:38 Latest
3.5（0.88 / 0.92）
6
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
08-04 21:098.13 / 5.19 / 1.30Opening
08-05 13:219.35 / 5.57 / 1.25Home Odds Up
08-06 12:1610.15 / 5.90 / 1.23Home Odds Up
08-06 17:5011.00 / 6.41 / 1.20Home Odds Up
08-07 00:3811.38 / 6.47 / 1.20No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:09 Opening
8.13 / 5.19 / 1.30
08-05 13:21
9.35 / 5.57 / 1.25
08-06 12:16
10.15 / 5.90 / 1.23
08-06 17:50
11.00 / 6.41 / 1.20
08-07 00:38 Latest
11.38 / 6.47 / 1.20
6
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:0911.3% / 17.8% / 70.9%Opening
08-07 00:388.2% / 14.4% / 77.5%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:09 Opening
11.34%
08-07 00:38 Latest
8.17%
6
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.17%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.50%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix08-07 00:38
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.56 points (70.9% to 77.46%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:38
Total up★★★☆☆
O/U 3 to 3.5, +0.5 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-07 00:38
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.17 points (11.34% to 8.17%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:38
Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 8.13 to 11.38 (+40.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 00:38
Handicap down★★★☆☆
Handicap -1.5 to -2, -3 steps (0.75 goals) - away backing rising.
08-07 00:38
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.3 to 1.2 (-7.7%) - market backing away.
08-06 23:25
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.55 points (70.9% to 77.45%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:25
Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -11 to high -8) - market divergence notable
08-06 23:25
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3 to 3/3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-06 17:50
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.24 points (70.9% to 77.14%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 17:50
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.92 points (11.34% to 8.42%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 17:50
Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 8.13 to 11.0 (+35.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-06 17:50
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -1.5 to -1.5/-2, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-06 12:16
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.31 points (70.9% to 75.21%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 12:16
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.23 points (11.34% to 9.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 12:16
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.3 to 1.23 (-5.4%) - market backing away.
08-06 12:16
Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 8.13 to 10.15 (+24.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-05 13:21
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.73 points (70.9% to 73.63%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-05 13:21
Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.3 to 1.25 (-3.9%) - market backing away.
08-05 13:21
Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 8.13 to 9.35 (+15.0%) - market cautious on home.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules08-04 21:09
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-05 13:21
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-06 12:16
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-06 12:16
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-06 17:50
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-06 17:50
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-06 23:25
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-07 00:38
Over Under Up LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
6
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07