Copa Sudamericana

Club Atlético Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta Odds Movement Analysis | Copa Sudamericana | 168 Tips

Club Atlético Boca Juniors
VS
Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-12 01:52:59
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 -1.75 0.99
Over Under 0.88 2.5/3 0.99
Europe 1.22 | 5.94 | 12.63
Probability 76.8% | 15.8% | 7.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 72.95 → 76.57
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-1.5 → -1.752026-08-12 00:15:07★☆☆☆☆Home win prob. up72.95 → 76.572026-08-12 00:15:07★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 2.5/32026-08-12 00:15:07★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★☆☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-12 01:52:59

Key Movements Title

5
08-10 11:19Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-11 11:56Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-12 00:15Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-11 21:59Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 15:18Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-07 17:030.85 -1.5 0.97Opening
08-08 17:000.92 -1.75 0.90Up Line
08-12 01:520.90 -1.75 0.99No Change
0.850.920.99158Home WaterAway Water-1.75
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
-1.5
08-08 17:00
-1.75
08-12 01:52 Latest
-1.75
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
08-07 17:030.92 2.5 0.88Opening
08-11 11:560.99 2.5/3 0.88Up Line
08-12 01:520.88 2.5/3 0.99No Change
0.840.920.99158OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
2.5（0.92 / 0.88）
08-11 11:56
2.5/3（0.99 / 0.88）
08-12 01:52 Latest
2.5/3（0.88 / 0.99）
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-07 17:031.27 / 5.00 / 10.87Opening
08-08 17:001.25 / 5.16 / 11.58Away Odds Up
08-10 11:191.22 / 5.74 / 13.29Away Odds Up
08-12 01:521.22 / 5.94 / 12.63No Change
1.227.2513.3158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
1.27 / 5.00 / 10.87
08-08 17:00
1.25 / 5.16 / 11.58
08-10 11:19
1.22 / 5.74 / 13.29
08-12 01:52 Latest
1.22 / 5.94 / 12.63
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-07 17:0373.0% / 18.5% / 8.5%Opening
08-12 01:5276.8% / 15.8% / 7.4%No Change
7.0441.976.8158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
72.95%
08-12 01:52 Latest
76.81%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.86%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.22%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-12 00:15
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.62 points (72.95% to 76.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-12 00:15
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 12.47 (+14.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-12 00:15
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - market backing home.
08-12 00:15
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 2.5/3, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-12 00:15
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 1.5 to 1.5/2, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-11 21:59
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.05 points (72.95% to 76.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-11 21:59
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 12.11 (+11.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-11 21:59
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.27 to 1.23 (-3.1%) - market backing home.
08-11 11:56
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.54 points (72.95% to 76.49%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-11 11:56
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 12.71 (+16.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-11 11:56
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - market backing home.
08-10 11:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.72 points (72.95% to 76.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 11:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 13.29 (+22.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 15:18
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 11.65 (+7.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 17:00
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 10.87 to 11.58 (+6.5%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-07 17:03
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-08 17:00
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-08 17:00
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-10 11:19
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-11 11:56
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-07
08-08
08-09
08-10
08-11
08-12
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