8
Record Count
Eredivisie
Willem Ii vs NEC Nijmegen Odds Movement Analysis | Eredivisie | 168 Tips
Willem Ii
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
1.03 +0.75 0.86
Over Under
1.02 3/3.5 0.86
Europe
4.60 | 4.28 | 1.63
Probability
20.4% | 21.9% | 57.6%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 5.25 → 4.6
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-08-15 19:54:18
Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
08-11 12:380.84 +1.25 1.04Opening
08-13 16:031.00 +1 0.88Up Line
08-15 18:371.03 +0.75 0.86Up Line
08-15 19:541.03 +0.75 0.86No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:38 Opening
+1.25
08-13 16:03
+1
08-15 18:37
+0.75
08-15 19:54 Latest
+0.75
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe total line was unchanged, while the Under-side price changed.
History Title
08-11 12:380.87 3/3.5 1.00Opening
08-15 19:541.02 3/3.5 0.86No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:38 Opening
3/3.5（0.87 / 1.00）
08-15 19:54 Latest
3/3.5（1.02 / 0.86）
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No ChangeEurope
OfComment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 12:385.25 / 4.58 / 1.50Opening
08-13 16:034.92 / 4.46 / 1.55Home Odds Down
08-15 19:544.60 / 4.28 / 1.63No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:38 Opening
5.25 / 4.58 / 1.50
08-13 16:03
4.92 / 4.46 / 1.55
08-15 19:54 Latest
4.60 / 4.28 / 1.63
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:3817.7% / 20.3% / 62.0%Opening
08-15 19:5420.4% / 21.9% / 57.6%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:38 Opening
17.71%
08-15 19:54 Latest
20.42%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+2.71%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.24%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix08-15 19:54
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.36 points (61.99% to 57.63%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:54
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.71 points (17.71% to 20.42%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:54
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.5 to 1.63 (+8.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 19:54
Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.6 (-12.4%) - market backing home.
08-15 19:54
Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5/1 to -0.5/1, +2 steps (0.5 goals) - home backing rising.
08-15 18:37
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.82 points (61.99% to 58.17%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 18:37
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.39 points (17.71% to 20.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 18:37
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.5 to 1.61 (+7.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 18:37
Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.66 (-11.2%) - market backing home.
08-15 16:52
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.07 points (61.99% to 58.92%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:52
Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.78 (-8.9%) - market backing home.
08-15 16:52
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.5 to 1.59 (+6.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 16:52
Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5/1 to -1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-15 15:25
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.11 points (61.99% to 58.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:25
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.04 points (17.71% to 19.75%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:25
Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.74 (-9.7%) - market backing home.
08-15 12:00
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.14 points (61.99% to 58.85%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:00
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.03 points (17.71% to 19.74%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:29
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.68 points (61.99% to 59.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:29
Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.5 to 1.57 (+4.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 22:29
Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.77 (-9.1%) - market backing home.
08-13 16:03
Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.5 to 1.55 (+3.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 16:03
Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 5.25 to 4.92 (-6.3%) - market backing home.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules08-11 12:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 16:03
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-13 16:03
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-15 18:37
Handicap Up LineHandicap
Overview Stats Title
2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15