EFL Championship

Watford FC vs Southampton FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Championship | 168 Tips

Watford FCWatford FC
VS
Southampton FCSouthampton FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 18:20:28
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.84 +0.5 1.05
Over Under 0.96 2.5/3 0.91
Europe 3.44 | 3.50 | 2.04
Probability 27.2% | 26.8% | 46.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds show the same direction toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.26 → 3.44
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.25 → +0.52026-08-16 18:20:28★☆☆☆☆Home price up3.26 → 3.442026-08-16 18:20:28★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 18:20:28

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 18:20Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 16:00Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 14:43Home price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 12:51Home price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 18:20Handicap down★☆☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-10 00:060.97 +0.25 0.85Opening
08-16 16:000.84 +0.5 1.05Down Line
08-16 18:200.84 +0.5 1.05No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:06 Opening
+0.25
08-16 16:00
+0.5
08-16 18:20 Latest
+0.5
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-10 00:060.95 2.5/3 0.85Opening
08-16 18:200.96 2.5/3 0.91No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:06 Opening
2.5/3（0.95 / 0.85）
08-16 18:20 Latest
2.5/3（0.96 / 0.91）
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-10 00:063.26 / 3.47 / 2.07Opening
08-16 18:203.44 / 3.50 / 2.04No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:06 Opening
3.26 / 3.47 / 2.07
08-16 18:20 Latest
3.44 / 3.50 / 2.04
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-10 00:0628.4% / 26.7% / 44.8%Opening
08-16 18:2027.2% / 26.8% / 46.0%No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:06 Opening
28.45%
08-16 18:20 Latest
27.25%
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
-1.20%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.55%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 18:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.26 to 3.44 (+5.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 18:20
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0/0.5 to -0.5, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-16 16:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.26 to 3.43 (+5.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 14:43
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.26 to 3.42 (+4.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:51
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.26 to 3.36 (+3.1%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-10 00:06
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 16:00
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
15
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-10
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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