VVV-Venlo vs Roda JC Kerkrade Odds Movement Analysis | Eerste Divisie | 168 Tips

Eerste Divisie
VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo
VS
Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 12:10:42
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 -0.25 0.94
Over Under 0.90 3 0.96
Europe 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.84
Probability 42.5% | 25.1% | 32.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.36 → 2.15
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up0 → -0.252026-10-04 11:17:20★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.36 → 2.152026-10-04 11:17:20★★★☆☆Home win prob. up38.82 → 42.822026-10-04 11:17:20★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 12:10:42

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Key Movements Title

5
10-04 11:17Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 10:37Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-04 11:17Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 10:37Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 09:25Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
09-28 02:560.80 0 1.02Opening
10-04 09:250.98 -0.25 0.90Up Line
10-04 12:100.94 -0.25 0.94No Change
0.750.911.0711018Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:56 Opening
0
10-04 09:25
-0.25
10-04 12:10 Latest
-0.25
18
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 02:560.86 3 0.94Opening
10-04 11:171.02 3/3.5 0.84Up Line
10-04 12:100.90 3 0.96Down Line
0.790.931.0711018OverUnder3
Timeline Title
09-28 02:56 Opening
3（0.86 / 0.94）
10-04 11:17
3/3.5（1.02 / 0.84）
10-04 12:10
3（0.90 / 0.96）
10-04 12:10 Latest
3（0.90 / 0.96）
18
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 02:562.36 / 3.67 / 2.53Opening
10-04 09:252.23 / 3.68 / 2.73Home Odds Down
10-04 12:102.17 / 3.67 / 2.84No Change
2.152.923.7011018HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:56 Opening
2.36 / 3.67 / 2.53
10-04 09:25
2.23 / 3.68 / 2.73
10-04 12:10 Latest
2.17 / 3.67 / 2.84
18
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 02:5638.8% / 25.0% / 36.2%Opening
10-04 12:1042.5% / 25.1% / 32.4%No Change
24.933.842.811018Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:56 Opening
38.82%
10-04 12:10 Latest
42.46%
18
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.64%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.18%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-04 11:17
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.91 points to 32.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 11:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.0 points to 42.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 11:17
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.53 to 2.85 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:17
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.36 to 2.15 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 11:17
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-04 11:17
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-04 10:37
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.69 points to 32.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 10:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.79 points to 42.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 10:37
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.53 to 2.83 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 10:37
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.36 to 2.16 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 09:25
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 33.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 09:25
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.45 points to 41.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 09:25
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.53 to 2.73 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 09:25
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.36 to 2.23 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:56
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-04 09:25
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-04 09:25
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-04 11:17
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-04 12:10
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
18
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
10-04
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