2. Bundesliga

Vfl Osnabruck vs Magdeburg Odds Movement Analysis | 2. Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Vfl OsnabruckVfl Osnabruck
VS
Magdeburg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-15 18:33:42
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 0 1.06
Over Under 0.95 3 0.93
Europe 2.61 | 3.64 | 2.44
Probability 35.9% | 25.7% | 38.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.33 → 2.61
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-08-15 18:33:42★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.33 → 2.612026-08-15 18:33:42★★★★☆Home win prob. down39.64 → 35.882026-08-15 18:33:42★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-15 18:33:42

Key Movements Title

5
08-15 16:15Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-15 17:55Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-15 13:35Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-15 16:15Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 17:55Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-11 12:331.08 -0.25 0.80Opening
08-12 01:180.90 0 0.98Down Line
08-15 13:350.83 +0.25 1.06Down Line
08-15 17:551.06 0 0.83Up Line
08-15 18:330.83 0 1.06home_water_down
Timeline Title
08-11 12:33 Opening
-0.25
08-12 01:18
0
08-15 13:35
+0.25
08-15 17:55
0
08-15 18:33
0
08-15 18:33 Latest
0
10
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:331.01 3 0.85Opening
08-13 15:581.09 3/3.5 0.72Up Line
08-14 22:200.95 3 0.92Down Line
08-15 18:330.95 3 0.93No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:33 Opening
3（1.01 / 0.85）
08-13 15:58
3/3.5（1.09 / 0.72）
08-14 22:20
3（0.95 / 0.92）
08-15 18:33 Latest
3（0.95 / 0.93）
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:332.33 / 3.53 / 2.70Opening
08-12 01:182.44 / 3.59 / 2.54Away Odds Down
08-15 13:352.68 / 3.64 / 2.38Home Odds Up
08-15 18:332.61 / 3.64 / 2.44No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:33 Opening
2.33 / 3.53 / 2.70
08-12 01:18
2.44 / 3.59 / 2.54
08-15 13:35
2.68 / 3.64 / 2.38
08-15 18:33 Latest
2.61 / 3.64 / 2.44
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 12:3339.6% / 26.2% / 34.2%Opening
08-15 18:3335.9% / 25.7% / 38.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:33 Opening
39.64%
08-15 18:33 Latest
35.88%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.76%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.27%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-15 18:33
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.18 points (34.2% to 38.38%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 18:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.76 points (39.64% to 35.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 18:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.44 (-9.6%) - market backing away.
08-15 18:33
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.61 (+12.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 18:33
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-15 17:55
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.24 points (34.2% to 39.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:55
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.76 points (39.64% to 34.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:55
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.37 (-12.2%) - market backing away.
08-15 17:55
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.68 (+15.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 16:15
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.6 points (34.2% to 39.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.13 points (39.64% to 34.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:15
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.35 (-13.0%) - market backing away.
08-15 16:15
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.71 (+16.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 16:15
🔴Handicap down★★★★☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to -0/0.5, -4 steps (1.0 goals) - significant structural weakening.
08-15 13:35
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.14 points (34.2% to 39.34%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.7 points (39.64% to 34.94%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:35
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.38 (-11.8%) - market backing away.
08-15 13:35
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.68 (+15.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 13:35
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★☆
Handicap oscillated 4 steps today (low -3 to high 1) - market divergence notable
08-15 11:55
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.86 points (34.2% to 37.06%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 11:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.43 points (39.64% to 37.21%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 11:55
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.51 (+7.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 11:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.52 (-6.7%) - market backing away.
08-15 11:55
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-14 22:20
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.78 points (34.2% to 36.98%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:20
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.36 points (39.64% to 37.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.5 (+7.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-13 15:58
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points (34.2% to 37.23%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 15:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.41 points (39.64% to 37.23%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 15:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.49 (-7.8%) - market backing away.
08-13 15:58
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.49 (+6.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-13 15:58
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3 to 3/3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-12 01:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.18 points (34.2% to 36.38%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-12 01:18
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.7 to 2.54 (-5.9%) - market backing away.
08-12 01:18
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.33 to 2.44 (+4.7%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:33
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-12 01:18
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-12 01:18
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
08-13 15:58
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-14 22:20
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-15 13:35
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 13:35
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-15 17:55
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 18:33
Handicap home_water_downHandicap

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
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