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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC Odds Movement Analysis | J1 League | 168 Tips

V-Varen Nagasaki
VS
Kyoto Sanga FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-09 17:44:20
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.97 +0.25 0.92
Over Under 0.94 2/2.5 0.94
Europe 3.29 | 3.14 | 2.23
Probability 28.4% | 29.7% | 41.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.83 → 3.29
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down0 → +0.252026-08-09 17:44:20★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.83 → 3.292026-08-09 17:44:20★★★★★Home win prob. down32.72 → 28.382026-08-09 17:44:20★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-09 17:44:20

Key Movements Title

5
08-09 17:44Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-09 17:18Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 16:59Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 15:56Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 14:40Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-05 14:311.08 0 0.80Opening
08-07 15:570.78 +0.25 1.11Down Line
08-09 17:440.97 +0.25 0.92No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:31 Opening
0
08-07 15:57
+0.25
08-09 17:44 Latest
+0.25
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-05 14:310.92 2/2.5 0.95Opening
08-09 17:440.94 2/2.5 0.94No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:31 Opening
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.95）
08-09 17:44 Latest
2/2.5（0.94 / 0.94）
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
08-05 14:312.83 / 3.19 / 2.42Opening
08-09 14:403.12 / 3.12 / 2.32Home Odds Up
08-09 17:443.29 / 3.14 / 2.23No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:31 Opening
2.83 / 3.19 / 2.42
08-09 14:40
3.12 / 3.12 / 2.32
08-09 17:44 Latest
3.29 / 3.14 / 2.23
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-05 14:3132.7% / 29.0% / 38.3%Opening
08-09 17:4428.4% / 29.7% / 41.9%No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:31 Opening
32.72%
08-09 17:44 Latest
28.38%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.34%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.13%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-09 17:44
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.62 points (38.26% to 41.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:44
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.34 points (32.72% to 28.38%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:44
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.42 to 2.23 (-7.8%) - market backing away.
08-09 17:44
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.83 to 3.29 (+16.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 17:44
🔴Handicap down★★★☆☆
Handicap 0 to -0/0.5, -3 steps (0.75 goals) - away backing rising.
08-09 17:18
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points (38.26% to 41.29%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.92 points (32.72% to 28.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:18
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.42 to 2.26 (-6.6%) - market backing away.
08-09 17:18
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.83 to 3.24 (+14.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 16:59
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.85 points (38.26% to 41.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 16:59
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.74 points (32.72% to 28.98%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 16:59
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.42 to 2.27 (-6.2%) - market backing away.
08-09 16:59
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.83 to 3.22 (+13.8%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 15:56
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.49 points (38.26% to 40.75%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:56
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.28 points (32.72% to 29.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:56
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.42 to 2.29 (-5.4%) - market backing away.
08-09 15:56
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.83 to 3.17 (+12.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 14:40
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.82 points (32.72% to 29.9%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:40
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.42 to 2.32 (-4.1%) - market backing away.
08-09 14:40
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.83 to 3.12 (+10.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 15:57
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -3 to high 0) - market divergence notable

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-05 14:31
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-07 15:57
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-09 14:40
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
08-09
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