Welsh Premier League

Cardiff Metropolitan vs Haverfordwest County Odds Movement Analysis | Welsh Premier League | 168 Tips

Cardiff MetropolitanCardiff Metropolitan
VS
Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest County
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 21:37:57
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.87 0 0.95
Over Under 2.77 1.5 0.16
Europe 2.12 | 3.41 | 3.09
Probability 43.3% | 26.9% | 29.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.3 → 2.12
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★★★
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-09-29 20:10:15★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.3 → 2.122026-09-29 20:10:15★★★☆☆Home win prob. up39.41 → 43.332026-09-29 20:10:15★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5 → 1.5/22026-09-29 20:10:15★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 21:37:57

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 12:43Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 09:20Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 16:42Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 12:43Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 06:00Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-29 02:361.00 -0.25 0.76Opening
09-29 06:000.71 -0.25 1.14home_water_down
09-29 09:200.98 -0.5 0.86Up Line
09-29 16:411.04 -0.5 0.80Home Water Up
09-29 20:070.80 0 1.02Down Line
09-29 21:370.87 0 0.95No Change
0.710.921.14159Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
09-29 02:36 Opening
-0.25
09-29 06:00
-0.25
09-29 09:20
-0.5
09-29 16:41
-0.5
09-29 20:07
0
09-29 21:37 Latest
0
9
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-29 02:360.80 2.5 0.96Opening
09-29 20:070.77 1.5/2 1.03Down Line
09-29 21:372.77 1.5 0.16Down Line
0.161.472.77159OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
09-29 02:36 Opening
2.5（0.80 / 0.96）
09-29 20:07
1.5/2（0.77 / 1.03）
09-29 21:37
1.5（2.77 / 0.16）
09-29 21:37 Latest
1.5（2.77 / 0.16）
9
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
09-29 02:362.30 / 3.31 / 2.73Opening
09-29 06:002.05 / 3.36 / 3.15Home Odds Down
09-29 09:201.96 / 3.40 / 3.39Away Odds Up
09-29 16:412.01 / 3.42 / 3.33Home Odds Up
09-29 20:072.12 / 3.41 / 3.09Home Odds Up
09-29 21:372.12 / 3.41 / 3.09No Change
1.902.723.54159HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-29 02:36 Opening
2.30 / 3.31 / 2.73
09-29 06:00
2.05 / 3.36 / 3.15
09-29 09:20
1.96 / 3.40 / 3.39
09-29 16:41
2.01 / 3.42 / 3.33
09-29 20:07
2.12 / 3.41 / 3.09
09-29 21:37 Latest
2.12 / 3.41 / 3.09
9
Record Count
4
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-29 02:3639.4% / 27.4% / 33.2%Opening
09-29 06:0044.2% / 27.0% / 28.8%Home Prob Up
09-29 21:3743.3% / 26.9% / 29.7%No Change
25.837.048.1159Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-29 02:36 Opening
39.41%
09-29 06:00
44.23%
09-29 21:37 Latest
43.33%
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
+3.92%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.82%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 20:10
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.47 points to 29.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 20:10
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.92 points to 43.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 20:10
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.73 to 3.09 (+13.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 20:10
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.3 to 2.12 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 20:10
🔴Total down★★★★☆
O/U line dropped from 2.5 to 1.5/2, down 0.75 goals from opening - goal expectation falling sharply.
09-29 20:10
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 16:42
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.68 points to 27.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 16:42
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.19 points to 45.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 16:42
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.73 to 3.33 (+22.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 16:42
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.3 to 2.01 (-12.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 16:42
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 12:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.37 points to 25.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 12:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.71 points to 48.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 12:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.73 to 3.54 (+29.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 12:43
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.3 to 1.9 (-17.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 09:20
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.37 points to 26.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 09:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.0 points to 46.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 09:20
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.73 to 3.39 (+24.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 09:20
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.3 to 1.96 (-14.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 06:00
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.42 points to 28.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 06:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.82 points to 44.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 06:00
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.73 to 3.15 (+15.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 06:00
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.3 to 2.05 (-10.9%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-29 02:36
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-29 06:00
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-29 06:00
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-29 06:00
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-29 09:20
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 09:20
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 16:41
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-29 16:41
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 20:07
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 20:07
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 20:07
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 21:37
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
1Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-29
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