United States vs Canada Odds Movement Analysis | International Friendly | 168 Tips

International Friendly
United StatesUnited States
VS
CanadaCanada
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-06 23:49:17
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.86 -0.5 0.96
Over Under 0.87 3 0.93
Europe 1.76 | 3.88 | 3.99
Probability 52.8% | 23.9% | 23.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.96 → 1.77
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down1.96 → 1.772026-10-06 23:01:18★★★★☆Home win prob. up47.1 → 52.512026-10-06 23:01:18★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5/3 → 32026-10-06 23:01:18★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-06 23:49:17

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Key Movements Title

5
10-06 18:48Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 16:08Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 12:18Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 10:25Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 07:44Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line was unchanged, while the home-side price changed.
History Title
10-05 03:481.02 -0.5 0.80Opening
10-06 04:350.97 -0.75 0.85Up Line
10-06 19:490.82 -0.5 1.00Down Line
10-06 23:490.86 -0.5 0.96No Change
0.790.911.0311019Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-05 03:48 Opening
-0.5
10-06 04:35
-0.75
10-06 19:49
-0.5
10-06 23:49 Latest
-0.5
19
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-05 03:480.93 2.5/3 0.87Opening
10-06 12:181.00 3 0.80Up Line
10-06 23:490.87 3 0.93No Change
0.770.901.0311019OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-05 03:48 Opening
2.5/3（0.93 / 0.87）
10-06 12:18
3（1.00 / 0.80）
10-06 23:49 Latest
3（0.87 / 0.93）
19
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-05 03:481.96 / 3.51 / 3.47Opening
10-05 23:371.80 / 3.68 / 3.92Away Odds Up
10-06 19:491.79 / 3.80 / 3.96Home Odds Up
10-06 23:491.76 / 3.88 / 3.99No Change
1.663.084.5111019HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-05 03:48 Opening
1.96 / 3.51 / 3.47
10-05 23:37
1.80 / 3.68 / 3.92
10-06 19:49
1.79 / 3.80 / 3.96
10-06 23:49 Latest
1.76 / 3.88 / 3.99
19
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:4847.1% / 26.3% / 26.6%Opening
10-06 19:4952.0% / 24.5% / 23.5%Home Prob Down
10-06 23:4952.8% / 23.9% / 23.3%No Change
20.738.456.211019Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-05 03:48 Opening
47.10%
10-06 19:49
52.00%
10-06 23:49 Latest
52.78%
19
Record Count
1
Change Count
+5.68%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.18%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-06 23:01
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.19 points to 23.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 23:01
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.41 points to 52.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 23:01
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.97 (+14.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 23:01
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.77 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 23:01
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-06 22:10
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.93 points to 23.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 22:10
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.87 points to 51.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 22:10
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.93 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 22:10
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.79 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 21:22
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.49 points to 24.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 21:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.31 points to 51.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 21:22
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.86 (+11.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 21:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.81 (-7.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 20:38
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.53 points to 24.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 20:38
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.24 points to 51.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 19:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.09 points to 23.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 19:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.9 points to 52.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 19:49
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.96 (+14.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 19:49
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.79 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 18:48
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.92 points to 20.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 18:48
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.08 points to 56.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 18:48
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.51 (+30.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 18:48
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.66 (-15.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 18:48
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0.5/1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-06 16:08
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.85 points to 20.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 16:08
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.03 points to 56.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 16:08
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.49 (+29.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 12:18
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.75 points to 20.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 12:18
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.81 points to 54.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 12:18
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.45 (+28.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 12:18
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.69 (-13.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 10:25
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.78 points to 21.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 10:25
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.62 points to 53.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 10:25
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.26 (+22.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 10:25
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.73 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 07:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.84 points to 22.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 07:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.37 points to 52.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 07:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.08 (+17.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 07:44
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.77 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 04:35
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.55 points to 23.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 04:35
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.95 points to 52.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 04:35
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 4.02 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 04:35
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.78 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 01:34
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.23 points to 23.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 01:34
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.45 points to 51.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 01:34
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.97 (+14.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 01:34
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.8 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 23:37
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.03 points to 23.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 23:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.23 points to 51.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 23:37
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.92 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 19:57
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.09 points to 49.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 19:57
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.47 to 3.68 (+6.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 19:57
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.96 to 1.88 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-05 03:48
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-05 23:37
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-06 04:35
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-06 12:18
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-06 19:49
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-06 19:49
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-06 19:49
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
19
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
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