K League 1

Ulsan HD FC vs Gangwon FC Odds Movement Analysis | K League 1 | 168 Tips

Ulsan HD FCUlsan HD FC
VS
Gangwon FCGangwon FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 18:23:41
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.80 0 1.09
Over Under 1.05 2/2.5 0.82
Europe 2.41 | 3.13 | 2.89
Probability 38.4% | 29.6% | 32.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.62 → 2.41
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down2.62 → 2.412026-08-16 18:23:41★★★☆☆Home win prob. up34.99 → 38.42026-08-16 18:23:41★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5 → 2/2.52026-08-16 18:23:41★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 18:23:41

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 17:47Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 16:38Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 18:23Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 15:04Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 16:38Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the home-side water.
History Title
08-11 12:571.00 0 0.88Opening
08-16 13:471.11 -0.25 0.79Up Line
08-16 17:471.09 -0.25 0.80Home Water Up
08-16 18:230.80 0 1.09Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
0
08-16 13:47
-0.25
08-16 17:47
-0.25
08-16 18:23
0
08-16 18:23 Latest
0
12
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
08-11 12:571.05 2.5 0.82Opening
08-16 18:231.05 2/2.5 0.82Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
2.5（1.05 / 0.82）
08-16 18:23
2/2.5（1.05 / 0.82）
08-16 18:23 Latest
2/2.5（1.05 / 0.82）
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:572.62 / 3.17 / 2.54Opening
08-16 15:042.35 / 3.24 / 2.89Away Odds Up
08-16 18:232.41 / 3.13 / 2.89No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
2.62 / 3.17 / 2.54
08-16 15:04
2.35 / 3.24 / 2.89
08-16 18:23 Latest
2.41 / 3.13 / 2.89
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 12:5735.0% / 28.9% / 36.1%Opening
08-16 18:2338.4% / 29.6% / 32.0%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
34.99%
08-16 18:23 Latest
38.40%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.41%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.92%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 18:23
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.06 points (36.09% to 32.03%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.41 points (34.99% to 38.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:23
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.89 (+13.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 18:23
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.41 (-8.0%) - market backing home.
08-16 18:23
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 2/2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-16 17:47
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.12 points (36.09% to 30.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.28 points (34.99% to 40.27%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:47
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.99 (+17.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 17:47
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.3 (-12.2%) - market backing home.
08-16 17:47
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0 to 0/0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-16 16:38
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.99 points (36.09% to 31.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:38
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.48 points (34.99% to 40.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:38
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.98 (+17.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 16:38
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.29 (-12.6%) - market backing home.
08-16 15:04
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.06 points (36.09% to 32.03%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 15:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.4 points (34.99% to 39.39%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 15:04
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.89 (+13.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 15:04
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.35 (-10.3%) - market backing home.
08-16 13:47
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points (36.09% to 33.78%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:47
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.48 points (34.99% to 37.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.74 (+7.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 13:47
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.47 (-5.7%) - market backing home.
08-16 12:31
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.21 points (36.09% to 33.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 12:31
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.31 points (34.99% to 37.3%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 12:31
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.73 (+7.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 12:31
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.48 (-5.3%) - market backing home.
08-16 09:51
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.16 points (34.99% to 37.15%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 09:51
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.71 (+6.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 09:51
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.62 to 2.49 (-5.0%) - market backing home.
08-16 00:20
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.54 to 2.62 (+3.1%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:57
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 13:47
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-16 15:04
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-16 17:47
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
08-16 18:23
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-16 18:23
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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