Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-10-26 03:45
Udinese CalcioUdinese Calcio
VS
AC MilanAC Milan
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-19 21:16:02
Normal Monitoring Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.03 +0.75 0.85
Over Under 0.87 2.5 1.01
Europe 5.07 | 3.85 | 1.64
Probability 18.5% | 24.4% | 57.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 4.28 → 4.88
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.5 → +0.752026-10-19 11:32:03★☆☆☆☆Home price up4.28 → 4.882026-10-19 11:32:03★★★★★Home win prob. down21.88 → 19.212026-10-19 11:32:03★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Normal Monitoring Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-19 21:16:02

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Key Movements Title

5
10-19 11:32Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-19 02:46Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-19 11:32Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 17:35Home price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line10-19 11:32Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-18 07:151.04 +0.5 0.84Opening
10-18 17:350.86 +0.75 1.02Down Line
10-19 21:161.03 +0.75 0.85No Change
0.840.941.04135Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Timeline Title
10-18 07:15 Opening
+0.5
10-18 17:35
+0.75
10-19 21:16 Latest
+0.75
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-18 07:150.97 2.5 0.91Opening
10-19 21:160.87 2.5 1.01No Change
0.870.941.01135OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-18 07:15 Opening
2.5（0.97 / 0.91）
10-19 21:16 Latest
2.5（0.87 / 1.01）
5
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
10-18 07:154.28 / 3.63 / 1.79Opening
10-19 02:464.86 / 3.79 / 1.67Home Odds Up
10-19 21:165.07 / 3.85 / 1.64No Change
1.643.355.07135HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-18 07:15 Opening
4.28 / 3.63 / 1.79
10-19 02:46
4.86 / 3.79 / 1.67
10-19 21:16 Latest
5.07 / 3.85 / 1.64
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-18 07:1521.9% / 25.8% / 52.3%Opening
10-19 21:1618.5% / 24.4% / 57.2%No Change
18.537.857.2135Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-18 07:15 Opening
21.88%
10-19 21:16 Latest
18.49%
5
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.39%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.82%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-19 11:32
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.81 points to 56.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 11:32
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.67 points to 19.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 11:32
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.28 to 4.88 (+14.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-19 11:32
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.79 to 1.67 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-19 11:32
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-19 02:46
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.73 points to 56.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 02:46
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 19.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 02:46
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.28 to 4.86 (+13.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 17:35
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.28 to 4.45 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-18 07:15
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-18 17:35
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-19 02:46
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
5
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Normal
Monitor Level
Normal Monitoring
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-18
10-19
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