Austrian Football Bundesliga

TSV Hartberg vs FK Austria Wien Odds Movement Analysis | Austrian Football Bundesliga | 168 Tips

TSV Hartberg
VS
FK Austria WienFK Austria Wien
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 22:33:47
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.12 0 0.78
Over Under 1.00 2.5 0.86
Europe 2.82 | 3.24 | 2.42
Probability 32.9% | 28.7% | 38.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.25 → 2.82
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.25 → 02026-08-16 22:33:47★☆☆☆☆Home price down3.25 → 2.822026-08-16 22:33:47★★★★☆Home win prob. up28.23 → 32.942026-08-16 22:33:47★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 22:33:47

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 22:33Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 22:33Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 20:56Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 22:09Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 13:24Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-11 13:100.95 +0.25 0.87Opening
08-14 23:190.77 +0.25 1.05home_water_down
08-16 22:091.06 0 0.83Up Line
08-16 22:331.12 0 0.78No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:10 Opening
+0.25
08-14 23:19
+0.25
08-16 22:09
0
08-16 22:33 Latest
0
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 13:100.99 2.5 0.81Opening
08-16 22:331.00 2.5 0.86No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:10 Opening
2.5（0.99 / 0.81）
08-16 22:33 Latest
2.5（1.00 / 0.86）
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-11 13:103.25 / 3.22 / 2.12Opening
08-14 23:192.97 / 3.20 / 2.30Home Odds Down
08-16 22:332.82 / 3.24 / 2.42No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:10 Opening
3.25 / 3.22 / 2.12
08-14 23:19
2.97 / 3.20 / 2.30
08-16 22:33 Latest
2.82 / 3.24 / 2.42
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 13:1028.2% / 28.5% / 43.3%Opening
08-16 22:3332.9% / 28.7% / 38.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:10 Opening
28.23%
08-16 22:33 Latest
32.94%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.71%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.77%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 22:33
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.89 points (43.28% to 38.39%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:33
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.71 points (28.23% to 32.94%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:33
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.82 (-13.2%) - market backing home.
08-16 22:33
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.42 (+14.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 22:33
🟢Handicap up★★★☆☆
Handicap -0/0.5 to 0, +3 steps (0.75 goals) - home backing rising.
08-16 22:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.88 points (43.28% to 38.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.6 points (28.23% to 32.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:09
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.83 (-12.9%) - market backing home.
08-16 22:09
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -3 to high 0) - market divergence notable
08-16 20:56
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.6 points (43.28% to 38.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:56
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.34 points (28.23% to 32.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:56
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.4 (+13.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 20:56
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.85 (-12.3%) - market backing home.
08-16 17:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.56 points (43.28% to 38.72%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.37 points (28.23% to 32.6%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.53 points (43.28% to 38.75%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.4 points (28.23% to 32.63%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.42 points (43.28% to 38.86%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.24 points (28.23% to 32.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:24
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.86 (-12.0%) - market backing home.
08-16 13:24
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.39 (+12.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 10:01
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.5 points (43.28% to 38.78%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:01
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.29 points (28.23% to 32.52%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:01
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.85 (-12.3%) - market backing home.
08-16 00:36
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.43 points (43.28% to 38.85%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.21 points (28.23% to 32.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:36
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.38 (+12.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.32 points (43.28% to 38.96%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.05 points (28.23% to 32.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:26
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.37 (+11.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:26
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.86 (-12.0%) - market backing home.
08-14 23:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.17 points (43.28% to 40.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 23:19
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.83 points (28.23% to 31.06%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 23:19
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.12 to 2.3 (+8.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 23:19
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.25 to 2.97 (-8.6%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:10
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-14 23:19
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-14 23:19
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-16 22:09
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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