Austrian Football Bundesliga

SV Ried vs Grazer AK Odds Movement Analysis | Austrian Football Bundesliga | 168 Tips

SV RiedSV Ried
VS
Grazer AKGrazer AK
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-21 15:38:01
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 -0.5 0.95
Over Under 0.93 2.5 0.93
Europe 1.93 | 3.46 | 3.73
Probability 48.2% | 26.9% | 24.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.21 → 1.93
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.25 → -0.52026-08-21 15:38:01★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.21 → 1.932026-08-21 15:38:01★★★★☆Home win prob. up41.66 → 48.192026-08-21 15:38:01★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-21 15:38:01

Key Movements Title

5
08-21 15:38Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-19 12:33Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-18 11:44Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-21 15:38Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-19 12:33Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
08-17 16:370.97 -0.25 0.91Opening
08-18 11:440.82 -0.25 1.06home_water_down
08-19 12:331.03 -0.5 0.85Up Line
08-21 15:380.94 -0.5 0.95No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:37 Opening
-0.25
08-18 11:44
-0.25
08-19 12:33
-0.5
08-21 15:38 Latest
-0.5
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-17 16:370.93 2.5 0.93Opening
08-18 11:441.09 2.5 0.77Over Water Up
08-21 15:380.93 2.5 0.93No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:37 Opening
2.5（0.93 / 0.93）
08-18 11:44
2.5（1.09 / 0.77）
08-21 15:38 Latest
2.5（0.93 / 0.93）
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-17 16:372.21 / 3.33 / 3.00Opening
08-18 11:442.05 / 3.31 / 3.40Home Odds Down
08-21 15:381.93 / 3.46 / 3.73Away Odds Up
Timeline Title
08-17 16:37 Opening
2.21 / 3.33 / 3.00
08-18 11:44
2.05 / 3.31 / 3.40
08-21 15:38
1.93 / 3.46 / 3.73
08-21 15:38 Latest
1.93 / 3.46 / 3.73
4
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-17 16:3741.7% / 27.6% / 30.7%Opening
08-18 11:4445.0% / 27.9% / 27.1%Home Prob Up
08-21 15:3848.2% / 26.9% / 24.9%No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:37 Opening
41.66%
08-18 11:44
45.00%
08-21 15:38 Latest
48.19%
4
Record Count
1
Change Count
+6.53%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.34%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-21 15:38
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.76 points (30.69% to 24.93%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-21 15:38
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.53 points (41.66% to 48.19%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-21 15:38
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.0 to 3.73 (+24.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-21 15:38
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.21 to 1.93 (-12.7%) - market backing home.
08-21 15:38
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-19 12:33
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.99 points (30.69% to 26.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-19 12:33
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.54 points (41.66% to 46.2%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-19 12:33
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.0 to 3.46 (+15.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-19 12:33
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.21 to 2.0 (-9.5%) - market backing home.
08-18 11:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.56 points (30.69% to 27.13%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-18 11:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.34 points (41.66% to 45.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-18 11:44
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.0 to 3.4 (+13.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-18 11:44
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.21 to 2.05 (-7.2%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-17 16:37
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-18 11:44
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-18 11:44
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
08-18 11:44
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-18 11:44
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-19 12:33
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-21 15:38
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
4
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-17
08-18
08-19
08-21
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