SS Lazio vs AC Monza Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168 Tips

Serie A 2026-10-11 21:00
SS LazioSS Lazio
VS
AC MonzaAC Monza
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-11 11:56:56
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.96 -0.75 0.93
Over Under 0.95 2.5/3 0.93
Europe 1.71 | 3.81 | 4.76
Probability 55.3% | 24.8% | 19.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.55 → 1.68
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1 → -0.752026-10-11 09:29:03★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.55 → 1.682026-10-11 09:29:03★★★★☆Home win prob. down60.36 → 56.222026-10-11 09:29:03★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 2.5/32026-10-11 09:29:03★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-11 11:56:56

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Key Movements Title

5
10-11 09:29Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 07:04Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-11 04:57Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-11 02:13Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-11 00:19Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-04 08:340.96 -1 0.92Opening
10-10 22:290.82 -0.75 1.06Down Line
10-11 11:560.96 -0.75 0.93No Change
0.780.951.1111427Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-04 08:34 Opening
-1
10-10 22:29
-0.75
10-11 11:56 Latest
-0.75
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-04 08:340.91 2.5 0.97Opening
10-11 07:041.00 2.5/3 0.88Up Line
10-11 11:560.95 2.5/3 0.93No Change
0.840.941.0411427OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-04 08:34 Opening
2.5（0.91 / 0.97）
10-11 07:04
2.5/3（1.00 / 0.88）
10-11 11:56 Latest
2.5/3（0.95 / 0.93）
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:341.55 / 3.97 / 5.82Opening
10-11 11:561.71 / 3.81 / 4.76No Change
1.553.735.9011427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 08:34 Opening
1.55 / 3.97 / 5.82
10-11 11:56 Latest
1.71 / 3.81 / 4.76
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:3460.4% / 23.6% / 16.1%Opening
10-11 11:5655.3% / 24.8% / 19.9%No Change
15.938.260.611427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 08:34 Opening
60.36%
10-11 11:56 Latest
55.31%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.05%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.13%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-11 09:29
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.23 points to 19.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:29
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.14 points to 56.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:29
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 4.89 (-16.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 09:29
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.55 to 1.68 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 09:29
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-11 09:29
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 0.5/1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-11 07:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.94 points to 19.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:04
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.75 points to 56.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:04
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 4.97 (-14.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 07:04
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.55 to 1.67 (+7.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 04:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 57.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 04:57
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.23 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 04:57
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.55 to 1.63 (+5.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 02:13
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 57.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 02:13
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.29 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 00:19
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.44 points to 57.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 00:19
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.3 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 22:29
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.26 points to 58.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 22:29
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.55 to 1.62 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 20:16
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.41 (-7.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 20:16
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.55 to 1.6 (+3.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 18:06
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.42 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:56
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.41 (-7.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 22:13
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.42 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 17:58
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.56 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 10:27
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.82 to 5.6 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 08:34
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-10 22:29
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-11 07:04
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
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