Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Odds Movement Analysis | Major League Soccer | 168 Tips

Major League Soccer 2026-10-11 08:30
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
VS
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-11 00:02:26
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.88 +0.25 1.01
Over Under 0.87 3.5 1.00
Europe 2.75 | 3.94 | 2.19
Probability 33.9% | 23.6% | 42.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.41 → 2.7
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down0 → +0.252026-10-10 22:14:22★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.41 → 2.72026-10-10 22:14:22★★★★☆Home win prob. down38.42 → 34.512026-10-10 22:14:22★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-11 00:02:26

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Key Movements Title

5
10-10 22:14Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-10 22:14Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-10 19:59Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-10 19:59Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-08 05:54Handicap volatile★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-04 08:230.84 0 1.04Opening
10-08 05:542.67 -1.25 0.23Up Line
10-08 16:420.84 0 1.04Down Line
10-10 19:590.88 +0.25 1.01Down Line
10-11 00:020.88 +0.25 1.01No Change
0.231.452.6711222Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-04 08:23 Opening
0
10-08 05:54
-1.25
10-08 16:42
0
10-10 19:59
+0.25
10-11 00:02 Latest
+0.25
22
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 08:230.98 3.5 0.89Opening
10-11 00:020.87 3.5 1.00No Change
0.870.941.0011222OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-04 08:23 Opening
3.5（0.98 / 0.89）
10-11 00:02 Latest
3.5（0.87 / 1.00）
22
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:232.41 / 3.92 / 2.44Opening
10-10 17:502.48 / 3.96 / 2.39Home Odds Up
10-11 00:022.75 / 3.94 / 2.19No Change
2.193.093.9911222HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 08:23 Opening
2.41 / 3.92 / 2.44
10-10 17:50
2.48 / 3.96 / 2.39
10-11 00:02 Latest
2.75 / 3.94 / 2.19
22
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-04 08:2338.4% / 23.6% / 38.0%Opening
10-11 00:0233.9% / 23.6% / 42.5%No Change
23.332.942.511222Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 08:23 Opening
38.42%
10-11 00:02 Latest
33.86%
22
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.56%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.38%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-10 22:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.02 points to 41.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 22:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.91 points to 34.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 22:14
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.44 to 2.22 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 22:14
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.7 (+12.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 22:14
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-10 19:59
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.69 points to 40.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 19:59
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 35.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 19:59
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.44 to 2.29 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 19:59
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.6 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 12:07
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.53 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 12:07
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.41 to 2.33 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:44
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.54 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 04:56
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.55 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 04:56
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.41 to 2.32 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 17:49
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.54 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 10:18
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.53 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 10:18
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.41 to 2.33 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 03:46
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.44 to 2.52 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 05:54
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★★
Handicap oscillated 5 steps today (low 0 to high 5) - market divergence notable
10-08 05:54
🟢Handicap up★★★★★
Handicap moved from 0 to 1/1.5, surged 5 steps (1.25 goals) from opening - significant structural strengthening.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 08:23
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-08 05:54
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-08 16:42
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-10 17:50
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-10 19:59
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
22
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
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