8
Record Count
Bulgarian First League
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Odds Movement Analysis | Bulgarian First League | 168 Tips
Spartak Varna
VS
Septemvri Sofia
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
1.02 -0.5 0.84
Over Under
0.92 2/2.5 0.92
Europe
2.03 | 3.16 | 3.67
Probability
45.5% | 29.3% | 25.2%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.88 → 2.03
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 23:19:17
Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the away-side water.
History Title
08-16 12:120.83 -0.5 0.93Opening
08-17 16:131.17 -0.5 0.71Home Water Up
08-17 23:191.02 -0.5 0.84No Change
Timeline Title
08-16 12:12 Opening
-0.5
08-17 16:13
-0.5
08-17 23:19 Latest
-0.5
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-16 12:120.81 2/2.5 0.95Opening
08-17 23:190.92 2/2.5 0.92No Change
Timeline Title
08-16 12:12 Opening
2/2.5（0.81 / 0.95）
08-17 23:19 Latest
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.92）
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No ChangeEurope
OfComment TitleThe home-win price moved up slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-16 12:121.88 / 3.25 / 3.96Opening
08-17 16:132.02 / 3.18 / 3.68Home Odds Up
08-17 23:192.03 / 3.16 / 3.67No Change
Timeline Title
08-16 12:12 Opening
1.88 / 3.25 / 3.96
08-17 16:13
2.02 / 3.18 / 3.68
08-17 23:19 Latest
2.03 / 3.16 / 3.67
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-16 12:1248.7% / 28.2% / 23.1%Opening
08-17 16:1345.8% / 29.1% / 25.1%Home Prob Down
08-17 23:1945.5% / 29.3% / 25.2%No Change
Timeline Title
08-16 12:12 Opening
48.70%
08-17 16:13
45.78%
08-17 23:19 Latest
45.55%
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
-3.15%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.44%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★Title
Count Suffix08-17 23:19
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.07 points (23.12% to 25.19%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 23:19
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.15 points (48.7% to 45.55%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 23:19
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.67 (-7.3%) - market backing away.
08-17 23:19
Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.88 to 2.03 (+8.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 22:58
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.39 points (23.12% to 25.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:58
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.43 points (48.7% to 45.27%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:58
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.62 (-8.6%) - market backing away.
08-17 22:58
Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.88 to 2.04 (+8.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 21:36
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.6 points (23.12% to 25.72%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 21:36
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.65 points (48.7% to 45.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 21:36
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.59 (-9.3%) - market backing away.
08-17 21:36
Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.88 to 2.05 (+9.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 20:20
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.66 points (23.12% to 25.78%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:20
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.68 points (48.7% to 45.02%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:20
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.58 (-9.6%) - market backing away.
08-17 18:08
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.6 points (23.12% to 25.72%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 18:08
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.65 points (48.7% to 45.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 18:08
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.59 (-9.3%) - market backing away.
08-17 16:13
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.01 points (23.12% to 25.13%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 16:13
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.92 points (48.7% to 45.78%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 16:13
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.96 to 3.68 (-7.1%) - market backing away.
08-17 16:13
Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.88 to 2.02 (+7.5%) - market cautious on home.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules08-16 12:12
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-17 16:13
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
08-17 16:13
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-17 16:13
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
Overview Stats Title
1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-16
08-17