UEFA Europa League

SL Benfica vs AGF Aarhus Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168 Tips

SL BenficaSL Benfica
VS
AGF AarhusAGF Aarhus
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-19 12:27:40
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.88 -2 1.00
Over Under 0.92 3.5 0.95
Europe 1.17 | 6.99 | 12.41
Probability 79.3% | 13.3% | 7.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only Implied Probability currently shows a home side direction. Evidence Label: 76.11 → 79.26
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home win prob. up76.11 → 79.262026-08-19 12:27:40★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-19 12:27:40

Key Movements Title

5
08-19 12:27Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-18 11:37Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-19 12:27Home price down★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line08-18 11:37Home price down★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line08-19 12:27Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-17 16:301.00 -2 0.82Opening
08-18 11:370.85 -2 0.97home_water_down
08-19 12:270.88 -2 1.00No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:30 Opening
-2
08-18 11:37
-2
08-19 12:27 Latest
-2
3
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-17 16:300.92 3.5 0.88Opening
08-19 12:270.92 3.5 0.95No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:30 Opening
3.5（0.92 / 0.88）
08-19 12:27 Latest
3.5（0.92 / 0.95）
3
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-17 16:301.22 / 6.31 / 10.12Opening
08-18 11:371.18 / 6.90 / 12.15Away Odds Up
08-19 12:271.17 / 6.99 / 12.41No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:30 Opening
1.22 / 6.31 / 10.12
08-18 11:37
1.18 / 6.90 / 12.15
08-19 12:27 Latest
1.17 / 6.99 / 12.41
3
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-17 16:3076.1% / 14.7% / 9.2%Opening
08-19 12:2779.3% / 13.3% / 7.5%No Change
Timeline Title
08-17 16:30 Opening
76.11%
08-19 12:27 Latest
79.26%
3
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.15%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.75%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-19 12:27
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.15 points (76.11% to 79.26%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-19 12:27
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 10.12 to 12.41 (+22.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-19 12:27
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.22 to 1.17 (-4.1%) - market backing home.
08-18 11:37
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.75 points (76.11% to 78.86%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-18 11:37
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 10.12 to 12.15 (+20.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-18 11:37
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.22 to 1.18 (-3.3%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-17 16:30
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-18 11:37
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-18 11:37
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
3
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-17
08-18
08-19
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