Austrian Football Bundesliga

SK Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK Odds Movement Analysis | Austrian Football Bundesliga | 168 Tips

SK Rapid Wien
VS
Grazer AKGrazer AK
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 00:09:33
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.93 -1 0.96
Over Under 1.02 2.5/3 0.84
Europe 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.26
Probability 58.3% | 23.9% | 17.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.77 → 1.6
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 00:09:33

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-11 13:151.02 -0.75 0.80Opening
08-16 22:381.01 -1 0.88Up Line
08-17 00:090.93 -1 0.96No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:15 Opening
-0.75
08-16 22:38
-1
08-17 00:09 Latest
-1
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
08-11 13:150.90 2.5 0.90Opening
08-16 21:041.03 2.5/3 0.83Up Line
08-17 00:091.02 2.5/3 0.84No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:15 Opening
2.5(0.90 / 0.90)
08-16 21:04
2.5/3(1.03 / 0.83)
08-17 00:09 Latest
2.5/3(1.02 / 0.84)
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 13:151.77 / 3.53 / 4.21Opening
08-16 17:161.66 / 3.77 / 4.83Away Odds Up
08-17 00:091.60 / 3.90 / 5.26No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:15 Opening
1.77 / 3.53 / 4.21
08-16 17:16
1.66 / 3.77 / 4.83
08-17 00:09 Latest
1.60 / 3.90 / 5.26
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-11 13:1552.0% / 26.1% / 21.9%Opening
08-17 00:0958.3% / 23.9% / 17.7%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:15 Opening
52.03%
08-17 00:09 Latest
58.33%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.30%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.96%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 00:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.14 points (21.88% to 17.74%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.3 points (52.03% to 58.33%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:09
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 5.26 (+24.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-17 00:09
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.6 (-9.6%) - market backing home.
08-17 00:09
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5/1 to 1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-17 00:09
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 2.5/3, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-16 23:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.06 points (21.88% to 17.82%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 23:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.2 points (52.03% to 58.23%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 23:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 5.23 (+24.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 22:38
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.01 points (21.88% to 17.87%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:38
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.16 points (52.03% to 58.19%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:38
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 5.21 (+23.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 21:04
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.34 points (21.88% to 18.54%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.07 points (52.03% to 57.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 5.02 (+19.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 21:04
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.63 (-7.9%) - market backing home.
08-16 17:16
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.62 points (21.88% to 19.26%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.02 points (52.03% to 56.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:16
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.83 (+14.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 17:16
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.66 (-6.2%) - market backing home.
08-16 13:49
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.06 points (52.03% to 54.09%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:49
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.57 (+8.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 10:12
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.55 (+8.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 01:06
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.44 (+5.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:30
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.43 (+5.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 23:26
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.21 to 4.41 (+4.8%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:15
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 17:16
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-16 21:04
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-16 22:38
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
08-17