SK Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK Odds Movement Analysis | Austrian Football Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Austrian Football Bundesliga 2026-10-18 23:00
SK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
VS
Grazer AKGrazer AK
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 14:39:07
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.99 -0.5 0.90
Over Under 0.90 2.5 0.96
Europe 1.86 | 3.58 | 3.83
Probability 49.9% | 25.9% | 24.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.64 → 1.78
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-10-18 13:17:00★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.64 → 1.782026-10-18 13:17:00★★★★☆Home win prob. down56.07 → 52.112026-10-18 13:17:00★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 14:39:07

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Key Movements Title

5
10-17 08:15Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-17 12:35Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-16 21:46Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-17 19:02Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 07:55Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-12 05:150.84 -0.75 1.04Opening
10-16 16:200.86 -0.5 1.02Down Line
10-18 14:390.99 -0.5 0.90No Change
0.820.941.0511426Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:15 Opening
-0.75
10-16 16:20
-0.5
10-18 14:39 Latest
-0.5
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-12 05:150.85 2.5/3 1.01Opening
10-18 14:390.90 2.5 0.96Down Line
0.810.911.0111426OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:15 Opening
2.5/3（0.85 / 1.01）
10-18 14:39
2.5（0.90 / 0.96）
10-18 14:39 Latest
2.5（0.90 / 0.96）
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:151.64 / 3.89 / 4.53Opening
10-16 16:201.76 / 3.73 / 4.04Away Odds Down
10-18 14:391.86 / 3.58 / 3.83Away Odds Down
1.633.084.5311426HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:15 Opening
1.64 / 3.89 / 4.53
10-16 16:20
1.76 / 3.73 / 4.04
10-18 14:39
1.86 / 3.58 / 3.83
10-18 14:39 Latest
1.86 / 3.58 / 3.83
26
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-12 05:1556.1% / 23.6% / 20.3%Opening
10-18 14:3949.9% / 25.9% / 24.2%No Change
20.238.256.211426Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:15 Opening
56.07%
10-18 14:39 Latest
49.87%
26
Record Count
0
Change Count
-6.20%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.24%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 13:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.66 points to 22.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.96 points to 52.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:17
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.04 (-10.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 13:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.78 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 13:17
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 07:55
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.76 points to 23.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:55
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.99 points to 52.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:55
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.02 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.72 points to 23.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:04
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.96 points to 52.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:04
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.03 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:09
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.69 points to 22.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.85 points to 52.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.77 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:09
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.02 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 00:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.76 points to 23.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.99 points to 52.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.78 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 19:02
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.85 points to 23.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:02
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.05 points to 52.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:02
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.0 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 12:35
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.84 points to 23.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.04 points to 52.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:35
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 3.98 (-12.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 12:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.77 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 08:15
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.95 points to 23.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.21 points to 51.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:15
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.78 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 08:15
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 3.97 (-12.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 04:15
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.89 points to 23.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.07 points to 52.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:15
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.77 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 21:46
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.84 points to 23.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:46
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.04 points to 52.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:46
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 3.98 (-12.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 16:20
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.54 points to 22.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:20
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.65 points to 52.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:20
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.04 (-10.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 16:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.76 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 10:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.3 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 10:50
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.69 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 17:07
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.33 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:55
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.35 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:21
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.53 to 4.36 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:15
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-16 16:20
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-16 16:20
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-18 14:39
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-18 14:39
Europe Away Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
26
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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