SC Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam Odds Movement Analysis | Eredivisie | 168 Tips

Eredivisie 2026-10-17 02:00
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior RotterdamExcelsior Rotterdam
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-16 18:08:00
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.06 -1 0.82
Over Under 0.82 3 1.05
Europe 1.57 | 4.32 | 4.92
Probability 59.4% | 21.6% | 19.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 56.43 → 60.36
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.75 → -12026-10-16 16:25:06★☆☆☆☆Home win prob. up56.43 → 60.362026-10-16 16:25:06★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★☆☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-16 18:08:00

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Key Movements Title

5
10-16 16:25Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-16 06:32Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-16 13:54Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-16 12:10Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-16 09:26Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-14 09:400.85 -0.75 1.03Opening
10-15 06:151.35 -1.25 0.54Up Line
10-15 09:570.82 -0.75 1.06Down Line
10-16 04:001.02 -1 0.86Up Line
10-16 06:320.84 -1 1.05home_water_down
10-16 18:081.06 -1 0.82Home Water Up
0.540.951.3511018Home WaterAway Water-1
Timeline Title
10-14 09:40 Opening
-0.75
10-15 06:15
-1.25
10-15 09:57
-0.75
10-16 04:00
-1
10-16 06:32
-1
10-16 18:08
-1
10-16 18:08 Latest
-1
18
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-14 09:400.92 3/3.5 0.95Opening
10-16 06:320.99 3.5 0.89Up Line
10-16 12:100.87 3/3.5 1.01Down Line
10-16 16:251.02 3.5 0.86Up Line
10-16 18:080.82 3 1.05Down Line
0.820.941.0511018OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-14 09:40 Opening
3/3.5（0.92 / 0.95）
10-16 06:32
3.5（0.99 / 0.89）
10-16 12:10
3/3.5（0.87 / 1.01）
10-16 16:25
3.5（1.02 / 0.86）
10-16 18:08
3（0.82 / 1.05）
10-16 18:08 Latest
3（0.82 / 1.05）
18
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-14 09:401.65 / 4.07 / 4.50Opening
10-16 06:321.55 / 4.41 / 5.05Away Odds Up
10-16 18:081.57 / 4.32 / 4.92No Change
1.553.305.0511018HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-14 09:40 Opening
1.65 / 4.07 / 4.50
10-16 06:32
1.55 / 4.41 / 5.05
10-16 18:08 Latest
1.57 / 4.32 / 4.92
18
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-14 09:4056.4% / 22.9% / 20.7%Opening
10-16 18:0859.4% / 21.6% / 19.0%No Change
18.539.460.411018Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-14 09:40 Opening
56.43%
10-16 18:08 Latest
59.43%
18
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.00%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.43%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-16 16:25
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 18.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:25
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.93 points to 60.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:25
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 5.05 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 16:25
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.55 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 16:25
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-16 16:25
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-16 13:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.44 points to 59.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:54
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 4.93 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 13:54
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.56 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 12:10
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.02 points to 59.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 12:10
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 4.84 (+7.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 12:10
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.57 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 09:26
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.74 points to 59.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 09:26
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 4.81 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 09:26
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.58 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 06:32
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 18.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 06:32
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.87 points to 60.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 06:32
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 5.05 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 06:32
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.65 to 1.55 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 04:00
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 4.71 (+4.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 01:46
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.5 to 4.67 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:15
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1/1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-14 09:40
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 06:15
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 09:57
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-16 04:00
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-16 06:32
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-16 06:32
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-16 06:32
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-16 12:10
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-16 16:25
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-16 18:08
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-16 18:08
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

5
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
18
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-14
10-15
10-16
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