Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg BK Odds Movement Analysis | Eliteserien | 168 Tips

Eliteserien 2026-10-18 20:30
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
VS
Rosenborg BKRosenborg BK
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 10:53:32
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.04 -0.25 0.85
Over Under 1.06 3/3.5 0.82
Europe 2.29 | 3.74 | 2.68
Probability 40.5% | 24.8% | 34.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.53 → 2.29
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.25 → -0.252026-10-18 09:22:13★★☆☆☆Home price down2.53 → 2.292026-10-18 09:22:13★★★☆☆Home win prob. up36.46 → 40.512026-10-18 09:22:13★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3 → 3/3.52026-10-18 09:22:13★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 10:53:32

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 09:22Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:22Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 07:48Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 04:57Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 01:44Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up two steps across the observed period.
History Title
10-12 05:000.67 +0.25 1.26Opening
10-12 15:351.00 0 0.88Up Line
10-16 21:401.08 -0.25 0.80Up Line
10-17 15:120.83 0 1.05Down Line
10-18 07:481.07 -0.25 0.82Up Line
10-18 10:531.04 -0.25 0.85No Change
0.670.971.2611223Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-12 05:00 Opening
+0.25
10-12 15:35
0
10-16 21:40
-0.25
10-17 15:12
0
10-18 07:48
-0.25
10-18 10:53 Latest
-0.25
23
Record Count
4
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-12 05:000.86 3 1.00Opening
10-18 04:571.04 3/3.5 0.84Up Line
10-18 10:531.06 3/3.5 0.82No Change
0.790.941.0811223OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:00 Opening
3（0.86 / 1.00）
10-18 04:57
3/3.5（1.04 / 0.84）
10-18 10:53 Latest
3/3.5（1.06 / 0.82）
23
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
10-12 05:002.53 / 3.65 / 2.41Opening
10-18 10:532.29 / 3.74 / 2.68No Change
2.293.023.7411223HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:00 Opening
2.53 / 3.65 / 2.41
10-18 10:53 Latest
2.29 / 3.74 / 2.68
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-12 05:0036.5% / 25.3% / 38.3%Opening
10-18 10:5340.5% / 24.8% / 34.6%No Change
24.732.640.511223Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:00 Opening
36.46%
10-18 10:53 Latest
40.54%
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.08%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.30%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 09:22
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.65 points to 34.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.05 points to 40.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.29 (-9.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:22
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.68 (+11.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:22
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0/0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-18 09:22
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-18 07:48
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.59 points to 34.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:48
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.95 points to 40.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:48
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.3 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 04:57
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.87 points to 35.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 04:57
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.34 points to 39.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 04:57
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.33 (-7.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 04:57
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.62 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 04:57
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-18 01:44
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.93 points to 35.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.45 points to 39.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:44
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.32 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 17:35
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.84 points to 35.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:35
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.39 points to 39.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:35
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.61 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 15:12
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.7 points to 35.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:12
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.24 points to 39.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:12
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.6 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 15:12
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.33 (-7.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 10:12
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.38 points to 35.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:12
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.79 points to 39.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:12
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.57 (+6.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 10:12
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.35 (-7.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 10:12
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0/0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-16 18:00
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.41 to 2.52 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 18:00
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.53 to 2.4 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 18:00
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:00
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-12 15:35
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-16 21:40
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-17 15:12
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-18 04:57
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-18 07:48
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
23
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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