Santos FC vs SE Palmeiras Odds Movement Analysis | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 168.Tips

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026-10-29 06:30
Santos FCSantos FC
VS
SE PalmeirasSE Palmeiras
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 21:33:21
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.12 +0.25 0.78
Over Under 0.85 2.5 1.02
Europe 3.31 | 3.40 | 2.12
Probability 28.3% | 27.5% | 44.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.84 → 3.29
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down0 → +0.252026-10-28 20:19:16★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.84 → 3.292026-10-28 20:19:16★★★★★Home win prob. down32.74 → 28.412026-10-28 20:19:16★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 21:33:21

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Key Movements Title

5
10-28 20:19Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 18:25Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 17:03Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-28 14:45Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-28 20:19Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-26 02:531.12 0 0.77Opening
10-26 11:471.28 0 0.66Home Water Up
10-27 11:360.88 +0.25 1.00Down Line
10-28 21:331.12 +0.25 0.78No Change
0.660.971.2811019Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-26 02:53 Opening
0
10-26 11:47
0
10-27 11:36
+0.25
10-28 21:33 Latest
+0.25
19
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-26 02:530.96 2.5 0.91Opening
10-28 21:330.85 2.5 1.02No Change
0.810.941.0611019OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-26 02:53 Opening
2.5（0.96 / 0.91）
10-28 21:33 Latest
2.5（0.85 / 1.02）
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-26 02:532.84 / 3.28 / 2.39Opening
10-28 21:333.31 / 3.40 / 2.12No Change
2.122.763.4011019HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-26 02:53 Opening
2.84 / 3.28 / 2.39
10-28 21:33 Latest
3.31 / 3.40 / 2.12
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-26 02:5332.7% / 28.4% / 38.9%Opening
10-28 21:3328.3% / 27.5% / 44.2%No Change
27.535.844.211019Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-26 02:53 Opening
32.74%
10-28 21:33 Latest
28.29%
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.45%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.80%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 20:19
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.18 points to 44.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.33 points to 28.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:19
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.12 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 20:19
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.29 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 20:19
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 19:19
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.07 points to 43.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 19:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.27 points to 28.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 19:19
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.13 (-10.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:25
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.03 points to 43.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:25
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.21 points to 28.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:25
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.28 (+15.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 17:03
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.42 points to 43.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 17:03
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.68 points to 29.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 17:03
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.16 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 17:03
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.22 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:45
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.0 points to 42.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:45
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.32 points to 29.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:45
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.18 (-8.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:45
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.18 (+12.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:50
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.39 points to 42.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:50
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.78 points to 29.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.21 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:50
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.12 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:42
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.79 points to 41.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:42
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 30.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:42
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.07 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:42
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.24 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 00:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.76 points to 41.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.44 points to 30.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:57
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.08 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 22:46
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.72 points to 41.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 22:46
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.37 points to 30.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 22:46
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.07 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 20:27
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.68 points to 41.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.39 points to 30.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.64 points to 41.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 30.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.06 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:36
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.49 points to 41.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:36
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.2 points to 30.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:36
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.25 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 11:36
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.05 (+7.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 07:58
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.39 to 2.3 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:58
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 2.97 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 04:14
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 2.95 (+3.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 00:18
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 2.94 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-26 02:53
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-26 11:47
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-27 11:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
19
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-26
10-27
10-28
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