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Racing Santander vs Villarreal CF Odds Movement Analysis | La Liga | 168 Tips

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
VS
Villarreal CF
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 22:29:38
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.86 +0.5 1.03
Over Under 0.84 3 1.05
Europe 3.39 | 3.63 | 2.07
Probability 28.0% | 26.1% | 45.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.02 → 3.39
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.25 → +0.52026-08-16 22:29:38★☆☆☆☆Home price up3.02 → 3.392026-08-16 22:29:38★★★★☆Home win prob. down31.03 → 28.02026-08-16 22:29:38★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 32026-08-16 22:29:38★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 22:29:38

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 18:21Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 17:09Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 16:01Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 22:03Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 22:29Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-10 00:070.82 +0.25 1.06Opening
08-13 15:311.32 0 0.71Up Line
08-14 21:461.00 +0.25 0.88Down Line
08-16 16:010.84 +0.5 1.05Down Line
08-16 20:471.06 +0.25 0.83Up Line
08-16 22:290.86 +0.5 1.03Down Line
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
+0.25
08-13 15:31
0
08-14 21:46
+0.25
08-16 16:01
+0.5
08-16 20:47
+0.25
08-16 22:29
+0.5
08-16 22:29 Latest
+0.5
17
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
08-10 00:070.91 2.5 0.97Opening
08-13 01:351.03 2.5/3 0.85Up Line
08-13 15:310.91 2.5 1.03Down Line
08-14 21:461.03 2.5/3 0.85Up Line
08-16 20:471.03 3 0.85Up Line
08-16 22:290.84 3 1.05Over Water Down
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
2.5（0.91 / 0.97）
08-13 01:35
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.85）
08-13 15:31
2.5（0.91 / 1.03）
08-14 21:46
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.85）
08-16 20:47
3（1.03 / 0.85）
08-16 22:29
3（0.84 / 1.05）
08-16 22:29 Latest
3（0.84 / 1.05）
17
Record Count
5
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-10 00:073.02 / 3.43 / 2.25Opening
08-16 22:293.39 / 3.63 / 2.07No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
3.02 / 3.43 / 2.25
08-16 22:29 Latest
3.39 / 3.63 / 2.07
17
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-10 00:0731.0% / 27.3% / 41.6%Opening
08-16 22:2928.0% / 26.1% / 45.9%No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
31.03%
08-16 22:29 Latest
28.00%
17
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.03%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.02%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 22:29
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.2 points (41.65% to 45.85%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:29
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.03 points (31.03% to 28.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:29
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.07 (-8.0%) - market backing away.
08-16 22:29
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.39 (+12.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 22:29
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 3, +0.5 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-16 22:29
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0/0.5 to -0.5, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-16 22:03
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.96 points (41.65% to 45.61%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:03
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.21 points (31.03% to 27.82%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:03
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.08 (-7.6%) - market backing away.
08-16 22:03
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.41 (+12.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 20:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.15 points (41.65% to 45.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.23 points (31.03% to 27.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:47
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.07 (-8.0%) - market backing away.
08-16 18:21
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.45 points (41.65% to 46.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.66 points (31.03% to 27.37%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:21
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.47 (+14.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 18:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.06 (-8.4%) - market backing away.
08-16 18:21
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 2.5/3, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-16 17:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.38 points (41.65% to 46.03%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.62 points (31.03% to 27.41%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.46 (+14.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 16:01
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.03 points (41.65% to 45.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.41 points (31.03% to 27.62%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 16:01
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.08 (-7.6%) - market backing away.
08-16 16:01
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.44 (+13.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:52
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.86 points (41.65% to 44.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 12:52
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.39 points (31.03% to 28.64%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 12:52
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.31 (+9.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:52
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.13 (-5.3%) - market backing away.
08-16 09:45
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.82 points (41.65% to 44.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 09:45
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.33 points (31.03% to 28.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 09:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.3 (+9.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 00:00
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.47 points (41.65% to 44.12%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:00
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.14 (-4.9%) - market backing away.
08-16 00:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.24 (+7.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 11:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.19 (+5.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 11:45
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.25 to 2.18 (-3.1%) - market backing away.
08-14 21:46
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.02 to 3.17 (+5.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-13 15:31
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -3 to high 0) - market divergence notable
08-13 15:31
🟢Handicap up★★★☆☆
Handicap -0/0.5 to 0, +3 steps (0.75 goals) - home backing rising.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-10 00:07
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 01:35
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-13 15:31
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-13 15:31
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-14 21:46
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-14 21:46
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-16 16:01
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-16 20:47
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-16 20:47
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-16 22:29
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-16 22:29
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under

Overview Stats Title

5
Handicap Changes
5
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
17
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-10
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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