EFL Cup

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Exeter City FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168 Tips

Plymouth Argyle FC
VS
Exeter City FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-10 21:30:57
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.88 -1.25 1.00
Over Under 0.88 3 0.98
Europe 1.41 | 4.75 | 6.65
Probability 66.3% | 19.7% | 14.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.58 → 1.41
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-1 → -1.252026-08-10 21:30:57★☆☆☆☆Home price down1.58 → 1.412026-08-10 21:30:57★★★★☆Home win prob. up58.34 → 66.272026-08-10 21:30:57★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-10 21:30:57

Key Movements Title

5
08-10 21:30Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-10 14:29Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-10 11:12Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-09 15:06Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-08 16:37Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-05 15:040.94 -1 0.82Opening
08-06 23:510.70 -1 1.06home_water_down
08-10 11:120.89 -1.25 0.93Up Line
08-10 21:300.88 -1.25 1.00No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 15:04 Opening
-1
08-06 23:51
-1
08-10 11:12
-1.25
08-10 21:30 Latest
-1.25
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-05 15:040.94 3 0.82Opening
08-10 11:121.02 3/3.5 0.78Up Line
08-10 14:290.82 3 0.98Down Line
08-10 21:300.88 3 0.98No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 15:04 Opening
3（0.94 / 0.82）
08-10 11:12
3/3.5（1.02 / 0.78）
08-10 14:29
3（0.82 / 0.98）
08-10 21:30 Latest
3（0.88 / 0.98）
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
08-05 15:041.58 / 4.09 / 4.82Opening
08-06 23:511.49 / 4.34 / 5.49Home Odds Down
08-10 11:121.42 / 4.69 / 6.43Away Odds Up
08-10 21:301.41 / 4.75 / 6.65No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 15:04 Opening
1.58 / 4.09 / 4.82
08-06 23:51
1.49 / 4.34 / 5.49
08-10 11:12
1.42 / 4.69 / 6.43
08-10 21:30 Latest
1.41 / 4.75 / 6.65
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-05 15:0458.3% / 22.5% / 19.1%Opening
08-06 23:5161.9% / 21.3% / 16.8%Home Prob Up
08-10 21:3066.3% / 19.7% / 14.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 15:04 Opening
58.34%
08-06 23:51
61.93%
08-10 21:30 Latest
66.27%
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
+7.93%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.59%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-10 21:30
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.07 points (19.12% to 14.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 21:30
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.93 points (58.34% to 66.27%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 21:30
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 6.65 (+38.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-10 21:30
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.58 to 1.41 (-10.8%) - market backing home.
08-10 21:30
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 1 to 0.5/1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-10 14:29
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.84 points (19.12% to 14.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 14:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.69 points (58.34% to 66.03%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 14:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 6.52 (+35.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-10 11:12
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.63 points (19.12% to 14.49%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 11:12
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.29 points (58.34% to 65.63%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 11:12
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 6.43 (+33.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-10 11:12
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.58 to 1.42 (-10.1%) - market backing home.
08-10 11:12
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3 to 3/3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-09 15:06
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.94 points (19.12% to 16.18%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:06
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.63 points (58.34% to 62.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:06
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 5.72 (+18.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 15:06
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.58 to 1.47 (-7.0%) - market backing home.
08-08 16:37
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.89 points (19.12% to 16.23%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 16:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.49 points (58.34% to 62.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 16:37
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 5.69 (+18.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 16:30
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.35 points (19.12% to 16.77%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 16:30
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.66 points (58.34% to 62.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 16:30
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 5.51 (+14.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 16:30
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.58 to 1.49 (-5.7%) - market backing home.
08-06 23:51
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points (19.12% to 16.81%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.59 points (58.34% to 61.93%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:51
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 4.82 to 5.49 (+13.9%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-05 15:04
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 23:51
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-06 23:51
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-06 23:51
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-10 11:12
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-10 11:12
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-10 11:12
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-10 14:29
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
08-09
08-10
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