Padova vs SudTirol Odds Movement Analysis | Serie B | 168.Tips

Serie B 2026-10-28 03:00
PadovaPadova
VS
SudTirolSudTirol
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-27 18:50:10
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.80 -0.25 1.08
Over Under 1.00 2/2.5 0.86
Europe 2.13 | 3.08 | 3.58
Probability 43.7% | 30.2% | 26.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.31 → 2.15
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down2.31 → 2.152026-10-27 17:22:57★★★☆☆Home win prob. up39.95 → 43.282026-10-27 17:22:57★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-27 18:50:10

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Key Movements Title

5
10-27 17:22Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 16:28Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 15:25Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-27 13:47Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-27 17:22Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line was unchanged, while the home-side price changed.
History Title
10-25 20:261.01 -0.25 0.81Opening
10-27 17:221.05 -0.5 0.83Up Line
10-27 18:500.80 -0.25 1.08Down Line
0.770.931.0811120Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-25 20:26 Opening
-0.25
10-27 17:22
-0.5
10-27 18:50
-0.25
10-27 18:50 Latest
-0.25
20
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-25 20:260.92 2/2.5 0.88Opening
10-27 18:501.00 2/2.5 0.86No Change
0.860.931.0011120OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-25 20:26 Opening
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.88）
10-27 18:50 Latest
2/2.5（1.00 / 0.86）
20
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
10-25 20:262.31 / 3.15 / 3.00Opening
10-27 13:472.25 / 3.07 / 3.27Home Odds Down
10-27 18:502.13 / 3.08 / 3.58No Change
2.132.853.5811120HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-25 20:26 Opening
2.31 / 3.15 / 3.00
10-27 13:47
2.25 / 3.07 / 3.27
10-27 18:50 Latest
2.13 / 3.08 / 3.58
20
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-25 20:2640.0% / 29.3% / 30.8%Opening
10-27 18:5043.7% / 30.2% / 26.0%No Change
26.034.943.711120Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-25 20:26 Opening
39.95%
10-27 18:50 Latest
43.73%
20
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.78%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.08%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-27 17:22
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.25 points to 26.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.33 points to 43.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:22
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.0 to 3.51 (+17.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 17:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.31 to 2.15 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 17:22
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-27 16:28
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.95 points to 26.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 16:28
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.93 points to 42.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 16:28
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.0 to 3.47 (+15.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 16:28
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.31 to 2.17 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 15:25
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.55 points to 27.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:25
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.54 points to 42.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:25
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.0 to 3.42 (+14.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:25
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.31 to 2.19 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 13:47
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 28.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.0 to 3.27 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 23:29
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.31 to 2.38 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 18:25
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.31 to 2.39 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-25 20:26
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 13:47
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-27 17:22
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-27 18:50
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
20
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-25
10-26
10-27
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