Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice Odds Movement Analysis | Ligue 1 | 168 Tips

Ligue 1 2026-10-19 02:45
Olympique LyonnaisOlympique Lyonnais
VS
OGC NiceOGC Nice
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 18:15:32
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.00 -0.5 0.89
Over Under 0.86 2.5/3 1.02
Europe 1.84 | 3.79 | 4.00
Probability 51.4% | 24.9% | 23.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.66 → 1.81
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-10-18 16:39:08★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.66 → 1.812026-10-18 16:39:08★★★★☆Home win prob. down56.58 → 52.212026-10-18 16:39:08★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 18:15:32

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 08:01Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 09:35Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 11:12Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 05:51Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 14:51Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 05:270.85 -0.75 1.03Opening
10-18 05:510.93 -0.5 0.96Down Line
10-18 18:151.00 -0.5 0.89Home Water Up
0.810.951.0811630Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:27 Opening
-0.75
10-18 05:51
-0.5
10-18 18:15
-0.5
10-18 18:15 Latest
-0.5
30
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-12 05:270.82 2.5/3 1.05Opening
10-18 18:150.86 2.5/3 1.02No Change
0.790.941.0811630OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-12 05:27 Opening
2.5/3（0.82 / 1.05）
10-18 18:15 Latest
2.5/3（0.86 / 1.02）
30
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-12 05:271.66 / 3.98 / 4.74Opening
10-17 17:481.74 / 3.90 / 4.29Away Odds Down
10-18 05:511.85 / 3.76 / 3.97Home Odds Up
10-18 18:151.84 / 3.79 / 4.00No Change
1.663.204.7411630HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:27 Opening
1.66 / 3.98 / 4.74
10-17 17:48
1.74 / 3.90 / 4.29
10-18 05:51
1.85 / 3.76 / 3.97
10-18 18:15 Latest
1.84 / 3.79 / 4.00
30
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:2756.6% / 23.6% / 19.8%Opening
10-18 18:1551.4% / 24.9% / 23.6%No Change
19.838.256.611630Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:27 Opening
56.58%
10-18 18:15 Latest
51.40%
30
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.18%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.47%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 16:39
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.17 points to 22.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 16:39
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.37 points to 52.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 16:39
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.11 (-13.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 16:39
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.81 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 16:39
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 14:51
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.93 points to 23.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 14:51
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.21 points to 51.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 14:51
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 3.98 (-16.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 14:51
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.84 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:12
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.26 points to 24.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:12
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.7 points to 50.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:12
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 3.93 (-17.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 11:12
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.86 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:35
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.47 points to 24.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.93 points to 50.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:35
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 3.9 (-17.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:35
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.87 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 08:01
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.63 points to 24.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.26 points to 50.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:01
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 3.87 (-18.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 08:01
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.88 (+13.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:51
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.98 points to 23.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:51
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.51 points to 51.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:51
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 3.97 (-16.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:51
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.85 (+11.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:16
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.3 points to 22.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:16
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.04 points to 53.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:16
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.26 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:16
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.76 (+6.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 00:43
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.33 points to 22.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:43
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.98 points to 53.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.38 points to 22.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:18
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.97 points to 53.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:18
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.25 (-10.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 20:49
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.27 points to 22.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 20:49
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.8 points to 53.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 20:49
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.26 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 20:49
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.75 (+5.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 17:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.08 points to 21.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:48
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.58 points to 54.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:48
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.29 (-9.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 17:48
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.66 to 1.74 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 12:42
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.74 to 4.56 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:27
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-17 17:48
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-18 05:51
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-18 05:51
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-18 18:15
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
30
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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