NK Publikum Celje vs FC Red Bull Salzburg Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168.Tips

UEFA Europa League 2026-10-23 03:00
NK Publikum CeljeNK Publikum Celje
VS
FC Red Bull SalzburgFC Red Bull Salzburg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-20 06:55:16
Focused Monitoring Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.79 +1 1.03
Over Under 0.81 2.5/3 0.99
Europe 4.76 | 4.03 | 1.64
Probability 19.7% | 23.2% | 57.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 4.04 → 4.74
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Focused Monitoring Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-20 06:55:16

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
10-17 06:531.04 +0.5 0.78Opening
10-17 18:360.84 +0.75 0.98Down Line
10-19 20:520.79 +1 1.03Down Line
10-20 06:550.79 +1 1.03No Change
0.780.911.04158Home WaterAway Water+1
Timeline Title
10-17 06:53 Opening
+0.5
10-17 18:36
+0.75
10-19 20:52
+1
10-20 06:55 Latest
+1
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-17 06:530.90 2.5/3 0.90Opening
10-20 06:550.81 2.5/3 0.99No Change
0.810.900.99158OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-17 06:53 Opening
2.5/3(0.90 / 0.90)
10-20 06:55 Latest
2.5/3(0.81 / 0.99)
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-17 06:534.04 / 3.78 / 1.79Opening
10-19 03:204.29 / 3.89 / 1.72Home Odds Up
10-19 12:094.52 / 3.98 / 1.67Home Odds Up
10-20 06:554.76 / 4.03 / 1.64No Change
1.643.204.76158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-17 06:53 Opening
4.04 / 3.78 / 1.79
10-19 03:20
4.29 / 3.89 / 1.72
10-19 12:09
4.52 / 3.98 / 1.67
10-20 06:55 Latest
4.76 / 4.03 / 1.64
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-17 06:5323.1% / 24.7% / 52.2%Opening
10-20 06:5519.7% / 23.2% / 57.1%No Change
19.738.457.1158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-17 06:53 Opening
23.12%
10-20 06:55 Latest
19.67%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.45%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.23%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-19 20:52
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.87 points to 57.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 20:52
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.38 points to 19.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 20:52
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.79 to 1.64 (-8.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-19 20:52
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.04 to 4.74 (+17.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-19 20:52
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -1, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-19 12:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.72 points to 55.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 12:09
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.47 points to 20.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 12:09
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.79 to 1.67 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-19 12:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.04 to 4.52 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-19 12:09
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-19 03:20
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.08 points to 54.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-19 03:20
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.79 to 1.72 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-19 03:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.04 to 4.29 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-17 06:53
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-17 18:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-19 03:20
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-19 12:09
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-19 20:52
Handicap Down LineHandicap