Nicaragua vs Costa Rica Odds Movement Analysis | CONCACAF Nations League | 168 Tips

CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua
VS
Costa Rica
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-02 04:25:47
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.03 +0.25 4.76
Over Under 4.54 2.5 0.02
Europe 9.92 | 5.69 | 1.24
Probability 9.3% | 16.2% | 74.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap indicate movement toward the home side, while European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 5.24 → 9.92
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-02 04:25:47

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large upward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
10-01 02:360.79 +1 1.03Opening
10-01 10:161.03 +1 0.85Home Water Up
10-01 13:430.81 +1.25 1.07Down Line
10-01 23:361.02 +1.75 0.80Down Line
10-02 02:460.86 +0.5 0.96Up Line
10-02 04:250.03 +0.25 4.76Up Line
0.032.404.76158Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-01 02:36 Opening
+1
10-01 10:16
+1
10-01 13:43
+1.25
10-01 23:36
+1.75
10-02 02:46
+0.5
10-02 04:25
+0.25
10-02 04:25 Latest
+0.25
8
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe total line was unchanged, while the Under-side price changed.
History Title
10-01 02:360.92 2.5 0.88Opening
10-01 10:161.03 2.5/3 0.83Up Line
10-01 23:360.91 3 0.89Up Line
10-02 02:460.99 1/1.5 0.81Down Line
10-02 04:254.54 2.5 0.02Up Line
0.022.284.54158OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-01 02:36 Opening
2.5(0.92 / 0.88)
10-01 10:16
2.5/3(1.03 / 0.83)
10-01 23:36
3(0.91 / 0.89)
10-02 02:46
1/1.5(0.99 / 0.81)
10-02 04:25
2.5(4.54 / 0.02)
10-02 04:25 Latest
2.5(4.54 / 0.02)
8
Record Count
4
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-01 02:365.24 / 3.89 / 1.55Opening
10-01 10:165.73 / 4.16 / 1.48Home Odds Up
10-01 23:3610.20 / 5.61 / 1.25Home Odds Up
10-02 04:259.92 / 5.69 / 1.24No Change
1.245.7210.2158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-01 02:36 Opening
5.24 / 3.89 / 1.55
10-01 10:16
5.73 / 4.16 / 1.48
10-01 23:36
10.20 / 5.61 / 1.25
10-02 04:25 Latest
9.92 / 5.69 / 1.24
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-01 02:3617.5% / 23.5% / 59.0%Opening
10-01 23:369.1% / 16.6% / 74.3%Home Prob Down
10-02 04:259.3% / 16.2% / 74.5%No Change
9.1141.874.5158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-01 02:36 Opening
17.46%
10-01 23:36
9.11%
10-02 04:25 Latest
9.31%
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
-8.15%
Home Prob Cumulative
±5.41%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-02 02:46
🟢Away win prob. up★★★★★
Away win probability increased by 15.44 points to 74.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 02:46
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 8.15 points to 9.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 02:46
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.24 (-20.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 02:46
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 9.92 (+89.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 02:46
🔴Total down★★★★★
O/U line dropped from 2.5 to 1/1.5, down 1.25 goals from opening - goal expectation falling sharply.
10-02 02:46
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-01 23:36
🟢Away win prob. up★★★★★
Away win probability increased by 15.31 points to 74.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 23:36
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 8.35 points to 9.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 23:36
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.25 (-19.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 23:36
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 10.2 (+94.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 23:36
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-01 23:36
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -7 to high -4) - market divergence notable
10-01 23:36
🔴Handicap down★★★☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -1.5/-2, down 3 steps (0.75 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-01 20:06
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.24 points to 64.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 20:06
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.94 points to 14.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 20:06
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.43 (-7.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 20:06
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 6.33 (+20.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 20:06
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -1/-1.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-01 20:06
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-01 16:48
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.22 points to 63.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 16:48
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.33 points to 15.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 16:48
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.45 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 16:48
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 6.06 (+15.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 13:43
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.38 points to 62.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 13:43
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.47 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 13:43
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 5.84 (+11.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 10:16
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.94 points to 61.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 10:16
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.55 to 1.48 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 10:16
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.24 to 5.73 (+9.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-01 02:36
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 10:16
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-01 10:16
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 10:16
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-01 13:43
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 23:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 23:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 23:36
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-01 23:36
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
10-02 02:46
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 02:46
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-02 04:25
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 04:25
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

5
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-01
10-02